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GXO Logistics stock undervalued, well-positioned for volume rebound - Citi

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 10/09/2024, 06:50 PM
GXO
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On Wednesday, Citi initiated coverage on GXO Logistics Inc. (NYSE:GXO) stock with a Buy rating and set a price target of $60.00. The firm believes that despite the logistics company's significant exposure to the European market and recent negative volume growth, the current stock valuation adequately reflects the subdued growth prospects.

Citi's analysis suggests that GXO holds a commanding position in the warehousing and automation sector, which is expected to regain momentum as volumes increase. Additionally, the firm identifies ongoing synergy opportunities that could lead to further growth in diverse markets and margin improvements.

The report from Citi acknowledges that investors have been hesitant to fully embrace GXO's growth narrative, given the challenges faced. However, they argue that this has created an attractive entry point for investing in GXO's asset-light business model. The company's long-term contracts are highlighted as a key factor providing visibility for revenue and earnings, as well as the ability to pass through inflation-related costs.

In other recent news, GXO Logistics has been actively enhancing its operations and financial performance. The firm reported record Q2 revenues of $2.8 billion, marking a 19% increase year-over-year. This financial success was further bolstered by securing approximately $270 million in new contracts, including significant deals in Germany.

GXO's acquisition of Wincanton is expected to enhance the company's presence in the aerospace, defense, and industrial sectors within the U.K. and Europe.

On the operational front, GXO has entered into a partnership with Reflex Robotics. This collaboration aims to test the startup's humanoid robots in GXO's logistics operations, potentially enhancing efficiency and creating new value in their warehouses. Moreover, GXO has appointed Emmanuel Bonnet as its new Vice President of Business Development for the French market, a strategic move to bolster its presence in France.

GXO also renewed its contract with Affinity Petcare, underscoring a 20-year collaborative relationship aimed at optimizing logistics operations in France. The company has reaffirmed its full-year 2024 guidance, projecting organic revenue growth between 2-5%, adjusted EBITDA from $805 million to $835 million, and adjusted diluted earnings per share between $2.73 and $2.93.

These developments highlight GXO's commitment to strategic acquisitions, technology integration, and new business opportunities for sustained growth.

InvestingPro Insights

Adding to Citi's optimistic outlook on GXO Logistics Inc. (NYSE:GXO), recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context for investors. GXO's market capitalization stands at $5.99 billion, with a P/E ratio of 41.13, reflecting the market's growth expectations despite current challenges. The company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 reached $10.36 billion, with a notable revenue growth of 18.88% in Q2 2024 compared to the previous year.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that GXO has been profitable over the last twelve months, aligning with Citi's positive stance on the company's financial health. However, it's worth noting that the stock price movements are quite volatile, which could present both risks and opportunities for investors. Additionally, GXO is trading at a high earnings multiple, which may be a consideration for value-oriented investors.

For those seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 7 additional tips that could provide deeper insights into GXO's financial position and market performance. These additional tips could be particularly valuable in light of Citi's recent coverage initiation and the company's potential for growth in the logistics sector.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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