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Guggenheim holds buy rating on Dynatrace shares ahead of revenue guidance

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/16/2024, 10:46 PM
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On Wednesday, Guggenheim reiterated its Buy rating on Dynatrace Inc. (NYSE:DT) shares, maintaining a $64.00 price target for the company's shares. The firm's positive stance comes with the expectation that Dynatrace will outperform market expectations for its second-quarter fiscal year 2025 (F2Q25) subscription revenue and Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR). The company is also anticipated to provide third-quarter revenue guidance above consensus during its earnings call.

According to the firm, Dynatrace's management is set to update its full-year ARR guidance, with potential for an increase from the current prediction of 15% year-over-year growth. Field checks indicated that the second quarter was solid, with two out of six partners surpassing expectations, three meeting them, and only one falling short. However, the pipeline expectations are reportedly mixed.

The analyst noted that disruptions from go-to-market (GTM) changes seem to be resolving, and Dynatrace's strategy to consolidate observability spend within large enterprise accounts is showing positive results. This strategy, coupled with ongoing product enhancements, positions Dynatrace favorably for platform consolidation.

The firm believes that this, along with a favorable model setup, is likely to lead to better-than-expected performance in both the current fiscal year and fiscal year 2026.

Enterprise Technology Research (ETR) survey data was referenced, indicating consistent spending intentions year-over-year, despite a sequential downturn. Guggenheim's outlook suggests confidence in Dynatrace's ability to capitalize on its strengths and deliver financial results that exceed current market estimates.

In other recent news, Dynatrace Inc. has experienced significant developments. Barclays upgraded its stock rating from Equalweight to Overweight, raising the price target for the company's shares to $64.00. This shift follows strategic changes within Dynatrace, including the launch of new product offerings and a reorganization of its sales team.

Meanwhile, Guggenheim maintained a Buy rating on the company and raised its price target to $64.00, reflecting an updated analytical model that predicts stronger business momentum for Dynatrace in fiscal years 2022 and 2023.

Dynatrace reported a 20% year-over-year increase in annual recurring revenue (ARR) and a 21% growth in subscription revenue in the first quarter of fiscal 2025, with total revenue reaching $399 million. These results exceeded the company's own projections. Scotiabank maintained a Sector Outperform rating on Dynatrace, expressing confidence in the firm's ongoing transformations and strategic initiatives.

The company also announced changes to its corporate governance, with shareholders approving an amendment to limit the liability of certain officers and the addition of Lisa Campbell to the Board of Directors. These are the recent developments for Dynatrace.

InvestingPro Insights

Dynatrace's strong market position, as highlighted by Guggenheim's Buy rating, is further supported by real-time data from InvestingPro. The company's impressive gross profit margin of 82.49% for the last twelve months as of Q1 2023 underscores its operational efficiency, aligning with the "InvestingPro Tip" that notes Dynatrace's impressive gross profit margins.

Moreover, the company's revenue growth of 22.28% over the same period reflects its ability to expand its market share, which is crucial for maintaining its competitive edge in the observability space. This growth trajectory supports Guggenheim's expectation of Dynatrace outperforming market expectations for subscription revenue and ARR.

InvestingPro Tips also indicate that 14 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, which corroborates Guggenheim's positive outlook on the company's future performance. Additionally, Dynatrace's strong return over the last three months, with a price total return of 21.72%, suggests growing investor confidence in the company's strategy and market position.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Dynatrace's financial health and market potential, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis to inform investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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