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Gilead retains Buy rating, stock target despite Trodelvy update

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/18/2024, 11:10 PM
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On Friday, Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD) maintained its Buy rating and $85.00 stock price target from TD Cowen, despite the pharmaceutical company's decision to voluntarily withdraw mUC indication from its Trodelvy label. The removal comes after the drug failed to meet the overall survival (OS) endpoint in the TROPICS-04 study.

The analyst from TD Cowen noted that mUC represents less than 10% of the drug's sales, which lessens the impact on Gilead's overall business. The decision to remove mUC was not expected to significantly affect the company's revenue projections. The firm continues to forecast approximately $1.4 billion in revenue from breast cancer indications for Gilead by the year 2025.

TD Cowen's analyst remains optimistic about Trodelvy's potential, particularly in treating 1L TNBC (triple-negative breast cancer), and is anticipating further data updates by the end of the year. The upcoming data is expected to provide more insight into the drug's efficacy and future revenue potential in this particular indication.

Gilead's Trodelvy has been under scrutiny following the TROPICS-04 study outcomes, but the company's quick response to adjust its labeling reflects a proactive approach to regulatory compliance and market expectations. The focus now shifts to the forthcoming updates, which could shape the drug's trajectory and solidify its position in the breast cancer treatment market.

The reaffirmed Buy rating and price target signal confidence in Gilead's strategic management and its portfolio's strength. Investors and stakeholders are now looking toward the year-end for the next significant updates on Trodelvy's clinical progress and its impact on Gilead's financial performance.

In other recent news, Gilead Sciences has been the focus of several significant developments. Wells Fargo maintains an Overweight rating for Gilead due to strong performance, particularly for its antiviral drug Veklury. The bank projects Veklury sales around $260 million, indicating a potential earnings beat.

In the realm of HIV prevention, Gilead's drug lenacapavir showed a 96% reduction in HIV infections in a Phase 3 trial. This is a significant step forward, with Gilead planning to file for approval of lenacapavir by the end of 2024. The company has also signed agreements with six manufacturers to produce and distribute generic versions of lenacapavir in 120 primarily low- and lower-middle-income countries, pending regulatory approval.

Gilead also reported a 6% year-over-year rise in total product sales, driven by an 8% rise in sales for its HIV treatment, Biktarvy, and a 23% increase for the oncology drug, Trodelvy. The company's oncology sector could potentially face less competition following AstraZeneca (NASDAQ:AZN)'s failed TROPION-breast-01 study, which could reinforce Gilead's position in the market.

Investment banking firms such as Mizuho, BMO Capital Markets, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley have maintained their respective ratings on Gilead. These are all recent developments that highlight Gilead's continued strides in both the HIV treatment and oncology sectors.

InvestingPro Insights

Despite the recent setback with Trodelvy's mUC indication, Gilead Sciences (NASDAQ:GILD) continues to demonstrate financial strength and market resilience. According to InvestingPro data, the company boasts a substantial market capitalization of $108.23 billion, underscoring its significant presence in the biotechnology sector. Gilead's revenue for the last twelve months stands at a robust $27.8 billion, with a healthy gross profit margin of 77.44%, indicating strong operational efficiency.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Gilead's attractive dividend profile, noting that the company "has raised its dividend for 9 consecutive years." This consistent dividend growth, coupled with a current dividend yield of 3.53%, may appeal to income-focused investors. Moreover, the tip that Gilead is "trading near 52-week high" aligns with the stock's recent performance, showing a 19.95% price total return over the past three months.

These insights suggest that while Gilead faces challenges in specific drug indications, its overall financial health and market position remain strong. Investors seeking more comprehensive analysis can access 13 additional InvestingPro Tips, providing a deeper understanding of Gilead's investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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