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Generac shares hold steady with $200 target amid hurricane season

Published 10/08/2024, 02:24 AM
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On Monday, Canaccord Genuity maintained a positive outlook on Generac Holdings (NYSE:GNRC), upholding a Buy rating and a $200.00 price target for the stock. The firm's stance comes in response to the recent hurricane activity in Florida, which has highlighted the potential for increased demand for Generac's products. Recent hurricanes have resulted in significant power outages, with Hurricane Helene causing approximately 4.8 million outages, which, after 11 days, have only reduced to about 319,000. This contrasts with the impact of Hurricane Beryl, which saw outages peak at around 2.6 million and fall to about 170,000 after 10 days.

The management of Generac Holdings has indicated that major outage events could contribute an additional $50 million to $100 million in revenue, depending on various factors such as the extent of the inconvenience caused by the outages. Following Hurricane Beryl, the company has incorporated the lower end of this revenue range into their updated guidance. The increased number of in-home consultations (IHCs) and immediate demand for portable generators typically follow such outage events, suggesting a potential boost to the company's sales.

Despite the optimistic view on the company's prospects in the wake of the hurricanes, Canaccord Genuity is awaiting further details from Generac's management regarding international sales trends before making any adjustments to their estimates. It is noted that Generac's international sales in the second quarter of 2024 experienced a year-over-year decline. The firm's current assessment does not yet factor in any potential upside to Generac's prior guidance based on these international trends.

In other recent news, Generac Holdings reported steady Q2 2024 net sales of $998 million, mirroring the previous year's figure. The company observed an 8% growth in residential product sales, offset by a 10% decline in Global Commercial & Industrial product sales. Generac's gross profit margin rose to 37.6%, with the quarter's adjusted EBITDA standing at $165 million. The acquisition of Ageto, a firm known for its advanced microgrid controllers, is set to enhance Generac's commercial and industrial sector offerings.

Generac's shares have maintained a Buy rating from Canaccord Genuity and an Overweight rating from Piper Sandler. Canaccord Genuity's rating comes after increased demand for Generac's products due to recent natural disasters. Piper Sandler's rating follows a virtual webinar with Generac's management discussing various business segments.

Generac has also raised its full-year outlook for 2024, citing increased demand following power outage events. The company has made a $35 million minority investment in Wallbox (NYSE:WBX) to expand its EV charging solutions. These recent developments indicate Generac's commitment to growth and adaptability in the face of market changes.

InvestingPro Insights

Generac Holdings' (NYSE:GNRC) recent performance and market positioning align with the optimistic outlook presented by Canaccord Genuity. According to InvestingPro data, the company's stock has shown strong momentum, with a 14.73% price return over the past month and a substantial 56.24% return over the last year. This performance is particularly noteworthy given that the stock is trading near its 52-week high, with its current price at 99.71% of that peak.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that 16 analysts have revised their earnings upwards for the upcoming period, suggesting growing confidence in Generac's near-term prospects. This aligns with the potential revenue boost from hurricane-related demand discussed in the article. Additionally, the company is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to its near-term earnings growth, with a PEG ratio of 0.65, indicating potential undervaluation despite its recent stock price gains.

While Generac's P/E ratio of 43.92 might seem high, it's important to consider this in the context of the company's growth potential, especially given the increased demand for its products during power outages. The company's strong financial position is further underscored by its liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations and its operation with a moderate level of debt.

For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for Generac Holdings, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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