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Frontier stock downgraded by JPMorgan on sale leaseback concerns

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 07/30/2024, 03:08 PM
ULCC
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On Tuesday, JPMorgan issued a downgrade for Frontier Group Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:ULCC) stock, moving its from Neutral to Underweight. The firm withdrew its price target for the airline, citing concerns over Frontier's financial strategy.

Frontier's reliance on sale leasebacks (SLBs) has raised red flags for the analyst at JPMorgan. According to the firm, the proceeds from these transactions, in some cases, represent the entirety of Frontier's profit.

The analyst noted that while lower ownership costs from SLBs can be beneficial, the level at which Frontier is engaging in these deals significantly surpasses what is considered normal within the industry.

The continued use of SLBs by Frontier is also believed to be driving the airline to expand its capacity beyond what market demand can sustain. This strategy could potentially position Frontier advantageously in the future, but it also poses a substantial risk to current shareholders, especially after the year-to-date decline in the company's stock value.

JPMorgan's decision to remove its price target for Frontier reflects the uncertainties surrounding the airline's financial approach. The analyst expressed discomfort with Frontier's dependence on SLBs and the impact this could have on the company's long-term viability and shareholder value.

The downgrade comes at a time when Frontier's financial practices are under scrutiny, with the airline's profit margins heavily reliant on the outcomes of its sale leaseback transactions. The firm's analysis suggests caution for investors considering the current risks associated with Frontier's strategy.

In other recent news, Frontier Group Holdings has made several significant developments. The company reported a better-than-expected adjusted pretax loss margin of 2.8% for the first quarter, surpassing expectations despite higher fuel costs and the challenges of integrating new markets. Frontier Group maintains its full-year guidance, expecting to generate a 3-6% adjusted pretax margin in the second quarter and a 10-14% margin by 2025.

In addition to financial results, Frontier Group has announced changes to its corporate governance, including amendments to its bylaws and the appointment of Nancy L. Lipson to its Board of Directors.

The revised bylaws include the elimination of stockholder action by written consent without a meeting and modifications to the disclosure requirements related to stockholder nominations of directors. Lipson's appointment is expected to strengthen the board with her extensive background in the corporate legal field.

Furthermore, as part of the government's COVID-19 relief efforts for the airline industry, the U.S. Treasury Department has garnered $556.7 million from the sale of warrants in 11 major U.S. airlines, including Frontier Group. These are some of the recent developments for Frontier Group, reflecting ongoing efforts to enhance corporate governance and financial performance.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of JPMorgan's downgrade of Frontier Group Holdings Inc (NASDAQ:ULCC), recent data and analysis from InvestingPro provide further context that might be of interest to investors. The company operates with a significant debt burden and may have trouble making interest payments on its debt, as noted by InvestingPro Tips. This aligns with JPMorgan's concerns about Frontier's financial strategy and its heavy reliance on sale leasebacks.

From a financial standpoint, Frontier's market cap stands at 866.72M USD, and the company has a negative P/E ratio of -35.93, reflecting concerns about profitability. Moreover, the stock has experienced a considerable decline over the past year, with a one-year price total return of -58.07%. Despite these challenges, net income is expected to grow this year, which could indicate potential for recovery.

Investors looking to delve deeper into Frontier's financial health and future prospects can find additional insights on InvestingPro, which lists over 14 InvestingPro Tips for a more comprehensive analysis. For those interested in an InvestingPro subscription, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get up to 10% off a yearly Pro and a yearly or biyearly Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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