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Evercore ISI maintains Outperform rating on Vera Therapeutics stock

Published 10/03/2024, 10:02 PM
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Evercore ISI has reiterated its Outperform rating on shares of Vera Therapeutics (NASDAQ: VERA), maintaining a $50.00 price target.

The biopharmaceutical company, which specializes in treating immune-mediated diseases, has been recognized for its strategic plan to enhance the market presence of its leading product candidate, atacicept.

The outlined strategy includes a clinical study for potential monthly dosing, expansion into a broader patient population with IgA nephropathy (IgAN), and exploration of atacicept's use in other autoimmune kidney diseases, potentially increasing the treatable patient market to 230,000 individuals.

The firm's confidence in Vera Therapeutics is partly based on the company's innovative approach to increasing the convenience of atacicept dosing, which could make it more competitive against emerging B cell modulators.

Additionally, the expansion into the larger IgAN population could double the current total addressable market (TAM) from 80,000 to 160,000 patients, potentially giving Vera an advantage upon initial product launch.

Evercore ISI also highlighted the significance of Vera's research into other autoimmune kidney diseases beyond IgAN. This expansion is supported by the biological rationale of atacicept targeting both APRIL and BAFF, which could lead to longer market exclusivity. Vera Therapeutics is expected to benefit from 12 and 10-year biological exclusivity in the US and EU, respectively.

The firm's analysis points to three upcoming data readouts that are particularly noteworthy. The first is the 96-week eGFR data for atacicept, expected to be presented at the American Society of Nephrology (ASN), which may demonstrate disease stabilization, a potential functional cure, a first for Vera.

The second is competitor Otsuka's Phase 3 data, anticipated within the next six months, which could impact Vera's stock due to factors affecting the reproducibility of its Phase 2 results. The third is Vera's own Phase 3 ORIGIN 3 readout due at the end of June, which could lead to a Biologics License Application (BLA) filing in the second half of 2025, including long-term eGFR data.

In other recent news, Vera Therapeutics has been making significant strides in the biotechnology sector. The company's lead product, atacicept, demonstrated its efficacy in treating IgAN during the ORIGIN Phase 2b clinical trial, meeting both primary and key secondary endpoints. The FDA has granted atacicept Breakthrough Therapy Designation for IgAN treatment, reflecting its potential to improve upon existing therapies.

Vera Therapeutics has also extended its clinical program for atacicept, planning to initiate the ORIGIN Extend study in Q4 2024 and the PIONEER study in 2025. These studies aim to evaluate atacicept's efficacy in broader populations and other autoimmune glomerular diseases. JPMorgan reaffirmed its Overweight rating on Vera Therapeutics, raising its price target from $62.00 to $72.00, reflecting the company's progress in the development of atacicept.

David Johnson has been appointed as Vera Therapeutics' new Chief Operating Officer, bringing a wealth of experience from his previous roles. The company is also preparing to present 96-week data from the Phase 2b ORIGIN study at the American Society of Nephrology Kidney Week 2024.

InvestingPro Insights

Vera Therapeutics' strategic plans and upcoming data readouts are complemented by several key financial insights from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $2.29 billion, reflecting investor confidence in its potential. Despite the positive outlook from Evercore ISI, it's important to note that Vera is not currently profitable, with a negative P/E ratio of -21.23 over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. This aligns with the InvestingPro Tip that analysts do not anticipate the company will be profitable this year.

However, Vera's stock has shown remarkable performance, with a 224.65% price total return over the past year. This strong return is consistent with the company's promising pipeline and strategic initiatives outlined in the article. Additionally, the stock is trading at 82.22% of its 52-week high, suggesting potential room for growth if the upcoming data readouts are positive.

InvestingPro Tips also highlight that Vera holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and has liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations. These factors could provide the financial flexibility needed to support the company's ambitious development plans for atacicept and expansion into new indications.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 8 additional tips for Vera Therapeutics, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial position and market potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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