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eBay guides Q4 below consensus, stock PT trimmed at Barclays

Published 11/01/2024, 12:10 AM
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On Thursday, Barclays made an adjustment to the price target for eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), bringing it down to $64 from the previous target of $65, while continuing to recommend an Overweight stance on the stock. The adjustment follows eBay's recent earnings report, which showed revenue and EPS figures largely meeting expectations, but with a fourth-quarter guidance that fell below consensus.

The Barclays analyst believes that despite the tempered fourth-quarter outlook, eBay's overall narrative has not shifted significantly. eBay's stock is currently perceived as undervalued, and the company's share repurchase program is expected to offer a degree of protection to investors during this period of underperformance.

eBay has introduced a new business model in the UK for customer-to-customer (C2C) transactions, which the analyst views as a minor complication in the otherwise positive investment thesis. This new model accounts for less than 15% of eBay's business and is seen as an appropriate long-term strategy, especially considering the success of platforms like Vinted in the European and UK C2C markets.

The analyst also highlighted eBay's potential to expand its offerings beyond apparel and consumer electronics due to its strong history in C2C sales. The key to success will be the company's execution. Additionally, the strategy to integrate sell-buy wallets and the ability to cross-sell business-to-consumer (B2C) products is expected to contribute to growth once market momentum increases in 2025.

At 14 times the projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, eBay's shares are believed to provide a safety margin that is rare in the consumer internet sector, signaling a potentially attractive investment opportunity despite short-term challenges.

In other recent news, eBay Inc (NASDAQ:EBAY). reported robust Q3 financial results, highlighting a focus on consumer-to-consumer (C2C) sales and artificial intelligence (AI) enhancements. The company's gross merchandise volume (GMV) rose over 1% to $18.3 billion, and revenue increased by more than 3% to $2.58 billion. Non-GAAP operating income and earnings per share also saw growth, with the latter surging by 16% to $1.19.

eBay's strategic initiatives, including C2C enhancements and new AI tools, played a significant role in these positive results.

The company's Q4 projections anticipate a GMV between $18.9 billion and $19.3 billion, with revenue estimates ranging from $2.53 billion to $2.59 billion. Non-GAAP EPS for Q4 is expected to be between $1.17 and $1.22, indicating a year-over-year growth of 9% to 14%. In addition, the company plans to raise its share repurchase target to $3 billion for 2024.

Notably, eBay's initiatives in key markets like the UK and Germany are projected to drive growth. However, challenges from the macro environment and one-time events, such as U.S. elections and Hurricane Milton, may affect demand.

These are some of the recent developments in the company's performance and outlook.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro adds depth to Barclays' analysis of eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY). The company's P/E ratio of 11.97 and adjusted P/E ratio of 18.66 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024 support Barclays' view that eBay's stock is undervalued. This is further reinforced by an InvestingPro Tip highlighting that eBay is trading at a low P/E ratio relative to its near-term earnings growth.

eBay's financial health appears robust, with a gross profit margin of 72.03% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024. An InvestingPro Tip notes eBay's impressive gross profit margins, aligning with the company's potential for expansion and growth as mentioned in the article.

The company's dividend strategy also stands out, with a current dividend yield of 1.72% and a dividend growth of 8.0% over the last twelve months. An InvestingPro Tip reveals that eBay has raised its dividend for 5 consecutive years, which may appeal to income-focused investors.

These insights complement Barclays' analysis and provide additional context for eBay's financial position and shareholder value proposition. For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips for eBay, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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