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Deutsche Bank lifts BNY Mellon stock target on solid Q3 results

Published 10/14/2024, 08:56 PM
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Deutsche Bank has maintained a positive stance on Bank of New York Mellon (NYSE: NYSE:BK), increasing its price target to $82.00 from $80.00 while reiterating a Buy rating.

The adjustment follows the bank's third-quarter earnings, which surpassed expectations with an adjusted EPS of $1.52, beating both Deutsche Bank's $1.41 forecast and the consensus of $1.42. The reported core EPS was $1.49, excluding a $0.03 benefit from a lower tax rate.

The bank's third-quarter performance was bolstered by higher-than-anticipated net interest income (NII) and a slight uptick in fee revenue.

Deutsche Bank noted that Bank of New York Mellon's cost management was robust, aligning with management's goal to achieve positive operating leverage.

The bank's management has offered a fourth-quarter NII outlook of approximately $1 billion, which is consistent with earlier consensus estimates and higher than Deutsche Bank's projection.

Bank of New York Mellon's management also conveyed a positive outlook for NII in 2025, countering earlier predictions of a potential decline. Deutsche Bank has adjusted its model from a 0.5% decrease to a mere 0.2% decline for NII from 2024 to 2025, while the consensus had anticipated a 1.7% year-over-year drop. The bank's expense management is expected to remain strong, with management projecting flat expenses for the year, barring any increases from higher revenue or the pending Archer deal.

In other recent news, the Bank of New York Mellon (BNY Mellon) continues to make headlines with its strong financial performance and strategic advancements. The bank recently reported a year-over-year increase of 22% in earnings per share (EPS), reaching $1.50, and a 5% rise in total revenue, amounting to $4.6 billion. The Clearance and Collateral Management (CCM) segment played a significant role in this revenue growth.

Analysts from Barclays, Evercore ISI, and JPMorgan have all given positive assessments of BNY Mellon. Barclays increased its price target to $86, retaining an Overweight rating, while Evercore ISI and JPMorgan set their price targets at $77, maintaining an In Line and Overweight rating respectively. These adjustments follow BNY Mellon's recent financial performance, which included a strong total payout ratio, higher fee income, and a lower tax rate.

BNY Mellon also announced the acquisition of Archer, aiming to enhance its asset servicing capabilities. Furthermore, BNY Mellon has established a dedicated hub with several hundred employees, demonstrating a strong commitment to AI investment. These developments are part of the bank's "flywheel of innovation," expected to drive efficient growth.

In global news, China Construction Bank (OTC:CICHF) and Bank of China, among other major state-owned banks, have decided to reduce existing mortgage rates. The move aims to stimulate the struggling property market and strengthen overall domestic demand within the world's second-largest economy.

InvestingPro Insights

Bank of New York Mellon's strong performance and positive outlook are further supported by recent data from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $53.91 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the financial sector. With a P/E ratio of 13.16 (adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024), BNY Mellon appears reasonably valued relative to its earnings, especially considering its recent financial results.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that BNY Mellon has raised its dividend for 14 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns that aligns with the bank's strong financial performance noted in the article. This is particularly impressive given that the company has maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years, showcasing long-term financial stability.

The bank's revenue growth of 3.76% over the last twelve months and a quarterly growth of 5.81% in Q3 2024 corroborate the positive earnings report mentioned in the article. Additionally, the operating income margin of 30.92% for the last twelve months indicates efficient operations, supporting Deutsche Bank's observation of robust cost management.

InvestingPro data shows a remarkable 86.03% price total return over the past year, with the stock trading at 97.37% of its 52-week high. This performance aligns with Deutsche Bank's bullish outlook and increased price target. For investors seeking more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 11 additional tips for BNY Mellon, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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