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Corvus shares upgraded to outperform at Mizuho on new revenue models and clinical data

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 10/22/2024, 06:34 PM
CRVS
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On Tuesday, Corvus Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:CRVS) received an upgrade from a Mizuho analyst, shifting the stock's rating from Neutral to Outperform. Alongside the upgrade, the price target was significantly increased to $12.00, up from the previous target of $3.50. This adjustment reflects a substantial 59% upside potential from the stock’s current levels.

The analyst's optimism stems from a revised evaluation of Corvus Pharmaceuticals' lead asset, soquelitinib, specifically for its application in peripheral T-cell lymphoma (PTCL). The new price target and improved outlook are due to heightened revenue estimates for soquelitinib in PTCL, factoring in a previously unconsidered prevalent population, which is expected to contribute to sales alongside the incident population.

Additionally, the financial model for Corvus Pharmaceuticals has been updated to include projected revenue from soquelitinib's use in treating atopic dermatitis (AtD), an immune disease. These changes are part of a broader shift in the company's valuation approach, moving to a discounted cash flow (DCF) based methodology and extending revenue forecasts to the year 2037, two years beyond the previous projection.

The Mizuho analyst's report also anticipates key clinical data for soquelitinib's efficacy in AtD, which is expected to be released shortly. This forthcoming data could serve as a catalyst for the stock, providing further clarity on the drug's potential market impact. The report concludes with an analysis of the competitive landscape for AtD treatments and discusses the scientific basis for soquelitinib's use in immune diseases, reinforcing the positive outlook for Corvus Pharmaceuticals.

In other recent news, Corvus Pharmaceuticals has initiated a Phase 3 trial for soquelitinib, a potential treatment for relapsed or refractory peripheral T-cell lymphoma (PTCL).

The drug has received Orphan Drug and Fast Track Designations from the FDA due to the dearth of approved treatments for this condition. In the financial sphere, Corvus reported a net loss of $5.7 million, with research and development expenses falling to $4.1 million. However, a recent financing round has bolstered the company's cash reserves to approximately $52.7 million.

Analysts from Mizuho Securities maintained a neutral stance on Corvus, while Oppenheimer raised its price target for the company. Corvus is also making strides in its clinical trials, with data from several studies expected in the coming years. Lastly, a study by Cornell University researchers suggested that soquelitinib could provide a new treatment pathway for inflammatory diseases.

InvestingPro Insights

The recent analyst upgrade aligns with several key metrics from InvestingPro. Corvus Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:CRVS) has shown remarkable market performance, with InvestingPro data indicating a 512.15% price total return over the past year and a 250% return in just the last three months. This surge in stock price is reflected in the company trading near its 52-week high, with the current price at 97.93% of its peak.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that CRVS holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet and has liquid assets exceeding short-term obligations, which could provide financial flexibility as the company advances its lead asset, soquelitinib. However, it's worth noting that CRVS is not currently profitable, with a negative P/E ratio of -20.91 for the last twelve months as of Q2 2024.

The stock's recent performance has pushed its valuation metrics higher, with InvestingPro data showing a Price to Book ratio of 9.23. This elevated valuation suggests that investors are pricing in significant growth expectations, aligning with the analyst's optimistic outlook on soquelitinib's potential in PTCL and atopic dermatitis markets.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 14 additional tips for CRVS, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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