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Colgate-Palmolive stock target cut, retains buy rating on Q3 beat

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/28/2024, 11:50 PM
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On Monday, TD Cowen adjusted its outlook on Colgate-Palmolive Company (NYSE:CL), reducing the price target to $110 from $115 while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment follows the company's third-quarter results, which surpassed expectations and included an upward revision of future projections.

The price target revision is attributed to market reactions that reflected concerns over Colgate's peak valuation and doubts regarding the sustainability of the company's recent success. These concerns have led to a pullback in Colgate stock despite the positive third-quarter outcome.

TD Cowen's analyst notes that the new price target reflects a recalibration based on lower multiples observed across the sector. Despite this reduction, the firm believes that Colgate-Palmolive represents a compelling opportunity for investors seeking to add resilient consumer packaged goods (CPG) stocks to their portfolios.

The analyst's commentary highlighted that the lower price target is seen as an attractive entry point for investors, particularly for those looking towards the long term and into the year 2025. The emphasis on the company's quality within the CPG sector suggests a continued positive outlook despite the adjustment.

In summary, TD Cowen's stance on Colgate-Palmolive remains positive, with a recommendation for investors to consider the stock as a high-quality addition to their investment selections. The firm anticipates that the company's current success has the potential to extend into the future, making it a notable name within the CPG space.

In other recent news, Colgate-Palmolive has been making headlines with its robust Q3 performance and the subsequent downgrade by Stifel. The company reported strong growth in both developed and emerging markets, with the former growing by 3% and the latter by 4.6%. This growth has been attributed to a strategic focus on innovation and market penetration, despite pricing pressures in North America and political volatility in emerging markets.

However, Stifel has downgraded Colgate-Palmolive's stock from Buy to Hold, adjusting the price target to $101 from $105. This decision is based on Stifel's projection of a deceleration in the company's organic sales growth to 4%-5% over the next four quarters, due to increasingly challenging comparisons with high single-digit growth in recent years.

Further, Stifel does not anticipate an increase in Colgate-Palmolive's valuation from its current levels, despite the likelihood of continued gross margin expansion contributing to modest earnings per share leverage. The company's commitment to investment is also noteworthy, with the 2024 estimated advertising spend projected to be around 13% of sales, an increase from previous years.

Lastly, CEO Noel Wallace has highlighted pricing strategies, premiumization, and increased household penetration as keys to long-term growth. Despite some anticipated normalization in Latin America, Colgate-Palmolive remains confident in its innovation strategy. These recent developments provide insight into the company's current financial health and strategic direction.

InvestingPro Insights

Colgate-Palmolive's recent financial performance aligns with TD Cowen's positive outlook. According to InvestingPro data, the company boasts impressive gross profit margins of 60.42% for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, reflecting its strong market position and operational efficiency. This is complemented by a solid revenue of $20.11 billion over the same period, with a 5.07% growth rate, indicating sustained business expansion.

InvestingPro Tips highlight Colgate-Palmolive's financial stability and shareholder-friendly policies. The company has maintained dividend payments for 54 consecutive years, demonstrating a commitment to returning value to shareholders. Additionally, it operates with a moderate level of debt, which supports TD Cowen's view of Colgate as a resilient CPG stock.

While the current P/E ratio of 27.47 might seem high, the PEG ratio of 0.33 suggests the stock could be undervalued relative to its growth prospects. This aligns with TD Cowen's perspective that the recent pullback may present an attractive entry point for long-term investors.

For readers interested in a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers 12 additional tips for Colgate-Palmolive, providing a comprehensive view of the company's investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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