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Citi lowers Thor Industries shares target amid cautious Q4 outlook

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 06/06/2024, 07:40 PM
THO
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On Wednesday, Citi adjusted its outlook on Thor Industries Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:THO) shares, a prominent player in the recreational vehicle (RV) market. The firm reduced the price target to $113 from the previous $120 while reaffirming a Buy rating on the stock.

The revision came after Thor Industries reported a strong third-quarter performance but provided a fourth-quarter guidance that fell short of expectations, alongside persistent negative retail trends and a cautious outlook.

Thor Industries' stock experienced a modest increase of 72 basis points on Wednesday, slightly underperforming the S&P 500's 1.18% gain. The company's third-quarter earnings beat was overshadowed by the less optimistic forecast for the upcoming quarter.

Despite the anticipation of a retail upturn this spring, the expected change did not materialize, leading to the discontinuation of the catalyst watch that was in place.

According to the analyst, Thor Industries continues to be a central figure in the early-cycle RV narrative and is poised to be one of the primary beneficiaries of potential interest rate reductions. However, the timing of these cuts appears to be extending further into the future.

The analyst's statement highlighted the company's position: "THO remains the poster child for the early-cycle RV story, and one of the biggest beneficiaries of eventual interest rate cuts, even as the onset of these cuts continues to get pushed further out."

Despite the lowered estimates and the reduced price target, the firm's stance on Thor Industries remains positive. The analyst's comments reflect a belief in the company's ongoing potential: "And so, while our estimates are down and we are reducing our price target from $120 to $113, we are maintaining our Buy rating."

Thor Industries' performance and the subsequent adjustment by Citi provide a snapshot of the company's current financial health and the broader RV market's dynamics.

With the maintained Buy rating, Citi continues to see value in Thor Industries' stock despite the near-term challenges and market headwinds.

In other recent news, Thor Industries reported a significant shortfall in its fiscal second-quarter earnings and revenue, with earnings per share of $0.13 and revenue of $2.21 billion, both falling below analysts' expectations.

Despite this, the recreational vehicle manufacturer maintains a revised full-year fiscal 2024 guidance, expecting consolidated net sales to range between $10.0 billion and $10.5 billion. In addition, Thor Industries has declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.48 per share.

In terms of analyst ratings, Baird adjusted its outlook on Thor Industries, reducing the price target to $110 from $120, while maintaining an Outperform rating. Roth/MKM continued to express a cautious outlook on the company, maintaining a Neutral rating and an $87.00 price target.

However, Citi upgraded Thor Industries from Neutral to Buy and increased the price target to $122.00, anticipating a potential turnaround in the recreational vehicle market.

These recent developments underscore the evolving landscape for Thor Industries, as the company navigates through a challenging market environment.

Note that all the information provided is based on the latest financial reports and analyst notes, serving as an informative glimpse into the company's current situation.

InvestingPro Insights

In light of Citi's recent outlook adjustment on Thor Industries Inc. (NYSE: THO), a deeper dive into the company's financial health using InvestingPro metrics and tips can provide additional context. Thor Industries boasts a market capitalization of $5.14 billion and a P/E ratio (adjusted for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024) of 19.36, reflecting investor confidence in its earnings capacity despite market fluctuations. Furthermore, the company's dividend yield as of the latest data stands at 1.99%, with a notable track record of raising its dividend for 9 consecutive years, showcasing its commitment to shareholder returns.

However, it's not all smooth sailing for Thor Industries. Analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downwards for the upcoming period, and a sales decline is anticipated for the current year. Moreover, the company's gross profit margin is relatively weak at 14.1%, which could signal potential challenges in maintaining profitability. On the positive side, Thor Industries has been profitable over the last twelve months, and analysts predict it will remain profitable this year, which may reassure investors looking for stable earnings.

For those considering an investment in Thor Industries, further exploration of InvestingPro Tips could be beneficial. There are additional tips available, and interested parties can use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription. These insights could help investors make a more informed decision regarding Thor Industries' stock amid the current market dynamics.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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