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Chevron holds rating, target amid Canadian assets sale

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 10/08/2024, 01:10 AM
CVX
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On Monday, Chevron Corporation (NYSE:CVX) maintained its Hold rating and $160.00 price target from research analysts at TD Cowen. The energy company recently completed the divestiture of its Canadian assets for a total of $6.5 billion in cash. The transaction is noted for its financial metrics, which indicate a free cash flow (FCF) yield of approximately 10% at a West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price of $70 per barrel. This figure is closely aligned with the 2025 price strip, and is marginally lower by about 1% than the consensus for that year.

Further, the deal exhibits a 7.4% yield at a Brent crude price of $65 per barrel, which is roughly 1% less expensive than TD Cowen's estimate for 2026. While the yields from the sale may not appear particularly high, the transaction implies that Chevron might be signaling confidence in its long-cycle oil resources. This aspect of the deal has been a subject of discussion, especially in the context of Chevron's pending acquisition of Hess Corporation (NYSE:HES).

The sale of the Canadian assets is a significant move for Chevron, as it reshapes its portfolio and capital allocation. Although the yields are modest, the transaction reflects strategic moves by the company amidst fluctuating oil prices and industry dynamics.

The financial details of the deal reveal Chevron's approach to managing its assets and capital in a way that aligns with its broader strategic objectives. The sale proceeds add to the company's liquidity and may provide additional flexibility for future investments or shareholder returns.

Chevron's stock performance and investor sentiment will continue to be influenced by such strategic transactions, oil price trends, and the company's ability to manage its portfolio effectively in a changing energy landscape. The current Hold rating and price target reflect a cautious but watchful stance from analysts as Chevron navigates these factors.

In other recent news, Chevron has been actively adjusting its portfolio. The company has sold its holdings in the Athabasca Oil (OTC:ATHOF) Sands and Duvernay Shale to Canadian Natural (NYSE:CNQ) Resources for $6.5 billion. This transaction is part of Chevron's broader strategy to divest between $10 billion to $15 billion in assets by 2028. These assets, located in Alberta, Canada, contributed 84,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day to Chevron's production in 2023.

Further, Chevron has been preparing for the potential impacts of Hurricane Milton. The company evacuated personnel and ceased operations at its Blind Faith platform in the Gulf of Mexico due to the approaching storm. However, Chevron's other Gulf operations remain unaffected.

In a separate development, analysts from RBC Capital Markets and Jefferies have highlighted potential challenges for energy companies, including Chevron, due to falling oil prices. These companies might need to borrow substantial amounts to maintain shareholder returns, with Chevron potentially requiring around $8.6 billion to maintain its buyback levels next year.

InvestingPro Insights

Chevron's recent divestiture of Canadian assets for $6.5 billion aligns with its strategic portfolio management, as reflected in several InvestingPro metrics and tips. The company's market capitalization stands at $277.45 billion, underlining its significant presence in the oil and gas sector. Chevron's P/E ratio of 14.97 suggests a reasonable valuation, especially considering the cyclical nature of the energy industry.

An InvestingPro Tip highlights that Chevron "has raised its dividend for 36 consecutive years," demonstrating a strong commitment to shareholder returns. This is particularly relevant in light of the recent asset sale, as it suggests the company may continue to prioritize dividend payments with its increased liquidity. The current dividend yield of 4.33% is attractive for income-focused investors.

Another InvestingPro Tip notes that Chevron "operates with a moderate level of debt," which is crucial when considering the company's financial flexibility following the $6.5 billion cash influx from the Canadian asset sale. This moderate debt level, combined with the fact that "cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments," indicates Chevron is well-positioned to manage its financial obligations while potentially pursuing new opportunities or returning value to shareholders.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Chevron's financial health and future prospects, InvestingPro offers additional tips and insights. There are 6 more InvestingPro Tips available for Chevron, providing a comprehensive view of the company's strengths and potential challenges in the evolving energy market.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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