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Casey's shares hold outperforma as Evercore ISI sees growth potential

Published 06/10/2024, 10:32 PM
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On Monday, Evercore ISI maintained a positive outlook on Casey's General Stores (NASDAQ:CASY), reaffirming an Outperform rating with a steady price target of $370.00. The firm highlighted Casey's unique position in the market, emphasizing the appeal of its quick and appealing prepared meals as a key factor driving customer traffic.

Evercore ISI pointed out that Casey's is well-placed in what they term the "value sweet spot," which could be a significant draw for consumers looking for convenience.

The firm also noted the potential for growth through mergers and acquisitions, with a strong pipeline for small to medium-sized deals that could enhance Casey's business strategy. This approach is seen as a way to potentially accelerate the company's growth algorithm.

Despite the stock not being inexpensive at 22 times the projected earnings for the calendar year 2025, its current premium over the S&P 500 is considered modest. Historically, Casey's has traded at a 20-30% premium above the S&P 500.

Casey's is currently trading at a 10% premium compared to the S&P 500, which Evercore ISI finds attractive, especially given the company's ability to grow in what is described as a "choppy consumer backdrop." The firm's outlook suggests confidence in Casey's capacity to maintain its growth trajectory and market position amidst varying market conditions.

Investors are encouraged by the firm's perspective that Casey's can continue to attract customers with its convenience and meal offerings, even as it faces broader economic uncertainties. The company's strategy, which includes a focus on acquisitions, is expected to contribute to its resilience and performance in the market.

Evercore ISI's assessment underscores the potential for Casey's General Stores to continue its pattern of defensive growth, leveraging both its market niche and strategic initiatives to stay ahead in a competitive landscape.

In other recent news, Casey's General Stores reported a decrease in diluted earnings per share (EPS) to $2.33 for the third quarter of fiscal year 2024, marking a 13% decline from the previous year. Despite this, the company saw an increase in same-store sales for prepared food and dispensed beverage by 7.5%, and grocery and general merchandise sales by 2.8%.

Analysts from BMO Capital Markets and RBC Capital Markets have assigned a "Market Perform" and "Sector Perform" rating respectively, with a target price of $305.

These are the recent developments for Casey's General Stores.

InvestingPro Insights

InvestingPro data provides a deeper dive into Casey's General Stores' financial health and market performance. With a robust market capitalization of $12.16 billion, Casey's reflects a significant presence in the retail sector. The company's P/E ratio, standing at 25.96, suggests a premium valuation relative to near-term earnings growth. This aligns with Evercore ISI's view of the stock not being inexpensive. Additionally, the company's dividend yield is currently at 0.52%, with a notable dividend growth of 13.16% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024, underscoring Casey's commitment to returning value to shareholders.

From an operational standpoint, Casey's has maintained a gross profit margin of 22.19%, which is a testament to its efficiency and the appeal of its prepared meals. The company's ability to generate a high return, with a 51.57% one-year price total return, reflects investor confidence and the company's strong market position.

Among the numerous InvestingPro Tips available, two particularly stand out for Casey's. Firstly, the company has raised its dividend for 24 consecutive years, showing a strong and consistent commitment to shareholder returns. Secondly, despite some analysts revising their earnings expectations downwards for the upcoming period, Casey's has still been predicted to remain profitable this year. For readers interested in an in-depth analysis of Casey's General Stores, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at Investing.com. To enhance your investing strategy, use coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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