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Carlisle stock target raised, rating held on earnings confidence

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 09/04/2024, 09:06 PM
CSL
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On Wednesday, Oppenheimer maintained its positive stance on shares of Carlisle Companies Incorporated (NYSE:CSL (OTC:CSLLY)), boosting the price target to $480 from $475 while keeping an Outperform rating on the stock. The firm's optimism is based on recent virtual meetings with Carlisle's management, which reinforced confidence in the potential earnings and cash flow growth for 2024-25, alongside the strategic initiatives outlined in the company's Vision 2030 plan.

Carlisle's Construction Materials (CCM) segment is expected to continue its strong performance, which should more than compensate for the anticipated challenges in the Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies (CWT) segment. This projection aligns with the results seen in the second quarter. Looking ahead to next year, both segments are predicted to achieve solid core growth and margin expansion.

The anticipated earnings growth is further supported by the impact of approximately $1.4 billion in share repurchases and the ongoing buyback activities, as well as the increasing contributions from the Metal Technologies (MTL) segment. These factors, potentially augmented by additional strategic acquisitions, set the stage for significant double-digit growth in earnings per share (EPS) for 2025.

Despite maintaining the EPS estimate for 2024 at $20.60, Oppenheimer slightly increased the 2025 EPS forecast to $23.55 from $23.45. The revised price target of $480 is underpinned by a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) analysis and represents a 15.5x enterprise value to EBITDA multiple based on the firm's 2025 earnings estimates.

The valuation reflects confidence in Carlisle's ability to sustain a mid-teens earnings compound annual growth rate (CAGR) as envisioned in their long-term strategic plan, ultimately leading to an EPS exceeding $40 during the plan's timeframe.

In other recent news, Carlisle Companies Incorporated reported robust Q2 2024 financial results, with sales growth of 11% reaching $1.5 billion. The company's adjusted earnings per share (EPS) increased by 33% to $6.24, and the adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to a record 28.8%.

Following this positive performance, Carlisle has elevated its full-year 2024 outlook, expecting revenue growth of around 12% and an adjusted EBITDA margin increase of approximately 150 basis points.

The company recently completed the $2 billion sale of CIT, transitioning to a pure-play building products company. Moreover, Carlisle acquired MTL and plans a $45 million investment in a research and innovation center. These developments are part of Carlisle's Vision 2030 strategy, which aims for above-market growth, price and cost leadership, and customer service excellence.

Despite facing challenges such as rising raw material costs and a downturn in the warehousing vertical, Carlisle maintains an optimistic outlook for 2024. The company's strategy focuses on growth, price and cost leadership, and customer service, underpinned by a strong liquidity position and a commitment to innovation.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro reinforces Oppenheimer's optimistic outlook on Carlisle Companies Incorporated (NYSE:CSL). The company's strong fundamentals are highlighted by a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, indicating solid financial health. Carlisle's commitment to rewarding shareholders is evident through a high shareholder yield and a remarkable track record of raising its dividend for 31 consecutive years, with dividend payments maintained for 54 years in total.

The company's strategic financial management is also noteworthy, as reflected in the aggressive share buyback activities mentioned by Oppenheimer. This aligns with the InvestingPro Tip that management has been actively repurchasing shares, which can signal confidence in the company's future prospects. Moreover, the company's P/E Ratio stands at 14.16, suggesting that it is trading at a reasonable valuation relative to its near-term earnings growth.

InvestingPro Data also shows that Carlisle's revenue growth over the last quarter was 10.99%, supporting the view of robust segment performance. With a Gross Profit Margin of 37.56% in the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, the company's profitability remains strong. The 1 Year Price Total Return of 51.72% further demonstrates the stock's impressive performance and investor confidence.

For readers looking to delve deeper into Carlisle's financial health and future prospects, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at https://www.investing.com/pro/CSL, which provide further insights into the company's performance and valuation metrics.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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