On Thursday, Canaccord Genuity revised its price target for HubSpot Inc (NYSE:HUBS), reducing it to $700 from the previous $750. Despite this adjustment, the firm continues to endorse the stock with a Buy rating. The revision follows HubSpot's first-quarter earnings, which surpassed expectations by nearly $20 million. However, the company has chosen to maintain its annual revenue growth forecast at around 18%. This suggests a potential deceleration in revenue growth later in the year, with a fourth-quarter projection of 16%, down from the prior 18%.
The company's management has also updated its bottom-line guidance, increasing it by $18 million. This adjustment indicates an expected margin of approximately 16.8%, up from the earlier estimate of around 16%. This increase includes an approximate $8 million in additional operating income due to the correction of an accounting error. HubSpot's management provided further insights, expecting certain metrics to remain consistent with previous projections, such as a growth contribution of about 100 basis points from its acquisition of Clearbit and a steady net addition of over 10,000 customers per quarter.
Additionally, the company anticipates its Net Revenue Retention (NRR) to remain over 100%, with no change from earlier expectations. However, management has forecasted a slight decrease in the Average Subscription Revenue Per Customer (ASRPC), expecting it to fall by a low single-digit percentage in constant currency terms, contrasting with the previously anticipated growth. Furthermore, foreign exchange (FX) is projected to pose an incremental 100 basis points challenge compared to previous expectations.
Lastly, HubSpot's new pricing model is predicted to have a neutral impact on growth for the current year, a downgrade from the less than 100 basis points of growth contribution previously estimated. The company's steady guidance in several key areas, despite the revised price target, reflects a cautiously optimistic outlook for the remainder of the year.
InvestingPro Insights
Following Canaccord Genuity's price target revision for HubSpot Inc, InvestingPro data provides a deeper dive into the company's financial health and market performance. With a notable market capitalization of $30.04 billion, HubSpot's impressive gross profit margin stands at 84.08%, indicating strong profitability on its core services and products. Despite operating at a loss with an operating income margin of -4.97% over the last twelve months as of Q1 2023, analysts are optimistic, as reflected in the InvestingPro Tips, predicting a return to profitability this year.
The stock's price movements have been characterized by volatility, with a 6-month price total return of 42.14%, highlighting the potential for significant short-term gains. However, investors should note the high Price / Book multiple of 22.76, suggesting a premium valuation compared to the company's book value. For those considering an investment in HubSpot, the InvestingPro platform offers additional insights and metrics, including 12 more InvestingPro Tips, to help make informed decisions. Interested users can take advantage of a special offer using the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.
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