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BofA lowers J.B. Hunt shares target, cites competitive pressures and excess capacity

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 04/17/2024, 07:04 PM
JBHT
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On Wednesday, BofA Securities adjusted its outlook on J.B. Hunt Transport Services, listed as NASDAQ:JBHT, by reducing the share price target to $199 from the previous $215, while still holding a Buy rating on the stock.

The adjustment follows J.B. Hunt's recent performance, which included intermodal volumes failing to meet expectations, despite a notable increase in West Coast imports and stable inventory levels.

The company experienced a 7% year-over-year decrease in Eastern Network loads, attributing the decline to heightened competition from truckload carriers. J.B. Hunt revealed that the current bid season has been unexpectedly competitive, with 40% of its annual bids completed since October 2023. This competitiveness is attributed to the extended freight downcycle and pressure from both intermodal peers and the truckload sector.

J.B. Hunt's intermodal loads showed a marginal 0.2% drop year-over-year, with varying monthly performances. January saw a 2% decrease, February a 3% increase, and March a 1% decrease in loads, all falling short of the company's projections. The company also reported having 20% excess intermodal capacity, contributing to cost pressures during the ongoing downcycle.

The firm's Intermodal operating ratio was reported at 92.7%, which is 70 basis points below the targeted figure and marks the weakest level in 22 years. According to CFO John Kuhlow, J.B. Hunt is facing $100 million in excess costs, or $0.72 per share, due to resources and capacity exceeding current business levels.

Despite these challenges, CEO Shelley Simpson emphasized the company's commitment to its long-term goal of reaching 150,000 containers and continued investments in personnel, technology, and capacity.

InvestingPro Insights

As J.B. Hunt Transport Services (NASDAQ:JBHT) navigates through a competitive bid season and excess intermodal capacity, insights from InvestingPro could provide investors with a clearer picture of the company's financial health and market position. According to InvestingPro Data, J.B. Hunt has a market capitalization of $18.9 billion and is trading at a Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 26.21, reflecting investor expectations for future earnings growth despite recent challenges. The company's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q4 2023 stood at approximately $12.83 billion, with a noted revenue decline of 13.39% over the same period, aligning with the company's reported underperformance in intermodal volumes.

InvestingPro Tips reveal that J.B. Hunt has a history of consistent dividend payments, having raised its dividend for 10 consecutive years and maintained payments for 21 consecutive years, which could be a sign of the company's commitment to shareholder returns. Additionally, the company is operating with a moderate level of debt and has been profitable over the last twelve months. These factors, coupled with a strong return over the last five years, may offer some reassurance to investors concerned about the company's recent cost pressures and competitive challenges.

For those interested in a deeper analysis, there are additional InvestingPro Tips available at: https://www.investing.com/pro/JBHT. To enhance your investment research, use the coupon code PRONEWS24 to get an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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