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BofA flags labor market risks and rent fatigue for Equity Residential stock

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 09/24/2024, 06:42 PM
EQR
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On Tuesday, BofA Securities adjusted its stance on Equity Residential (NYSE:EQR), downgrading the stock to Neutral from Buy. The firm, however, raised its price objective to $82.00, up from the previous target of $78.00. The revision reflects a reassessment of the company's growth prospects and market conditions.

The downgraded rating is a result of anticipated challenges in the labor market, which are expected to impact Equity Residential's properties, particularly those in urban and coastal areas. The analyst pointed out that signs of rent fatigue in Southern California and shifting demographics could pose additional challenges for the real estate investment trust.

Despite the downgrade, BofA Securities acknowledges the strengths of Equity Residential, noting the high quality of its portfolio, its solid balance sheet, and the effectiveness of its management team. These factors are believed to provide some balance against the headwinds faced by the company.

The firm also provided updates on its financial forecasts for Equity Residential. The 2024 funds from operations (FFO) estimate has been slightly reduced to $3.89, down from $3.90. The 2025 FFO prediction has been adjusted to $4.00, a decrease from the previously estimated $4.07.

Equity Residential's new price target of $82.00, despite the downgrade to Neutral, indicates a modest upside from the firm's previous valuation, taking into account the revised growth and risk expectations.

In other recent news, Equity Residential has declared quarterly dividends for its common and preferred shares, with a regular common share dividend of $0.675 per share for the third quarter.

The company also issued $600 million in 4.650% notes due 2034 through its operating partnership, ERP Operating Limited Partnership, in collaboration with firms such as Barclays Capital Inc., BofA Securities, Inc., and Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.

In terms of financial performance, Equity Residential reported an increase in same-store revenues and net operating income by 2.9% and 3%, respectively, with normalized funds from operations per share rising by 3.2%.

In a strategic move, Equity Residential agreed to purchase 11 apartment properties from various Blackstone (NYSE:BX) real estate funds for approximately $964 million.

Deutsche Bank subsequently upgraded Equity Residential's stock from Hold to Buy, following a review of the company's second-quarter performance.

Citi raised its price target on Equity Residential shares to $74.00, maintaining a Neutral rating, while CFRA increased their price target for Equity Residential to $85.00, keeping a Buy rating.

Conversely, Wells Fargo downgraded the stock from Overweight to Equal Weight, despite raising the price target to $77.00.

Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a Neutral rating and a price target of $81.00. These are some of the recent developments for Equity Residential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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