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BMO bullish on Warrior Met Coal shares, buoyed by Q1 performance and Blue Creek project progress

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 05/02/2024, 09:16 PM
HCC
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On Thursday, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on Warrior Met Coal Inc (NYSE:HCC) shares, increasing the price target to $70.00 from the previous $62.00 while maintaining a Market Perform rating.

The adjustment follows Warrior Met Coal's first-quarter earnings report, which revealed an EBITDA of $200 million. This figure surpassed both BMO's and the consensus estimates of $192 million and $180 million, respectively.

The better-than-expected results were mainly due to approximately 9% higher sales volume, although this was somewhat counterbalanced by a lower realized price for the coal sold.

Warrior Met Coal's recent financial performance indicates a firm operational stance, as the company has not altered its full-year targets for 2024. However, the firm anticipates that coal sales for the second quarter of 2024 are likely to experience a seasonal decline compared to the previous quarter.

Despite this projection, the development of the Blue Creek project, which is considered a significant growth initiative for Warrior Met Coal, is reportedly progressing within the planned timeline and budget.

BMO Capital Markets has made slight adjustments to its estimates based on the latest financial data. The decision to elevate the price target to $70 is grounded on an increased multiple assumption. This revision reflects the growing visibility and anticipated value that the Blue Creek project is expected to contribute to Warrior Met Coal's future performance.

The Blue Creek development is a critical component in Warrior Met Coal's strategy, as it is expected to potentially enhance the company's production capabilities and market position. The project's alignment with budgetary and scheduling expectations signals a positive outlook for its completion and operational commencement.

Warrior Met Coal, as a producer and exporter of metallurgical coal sought after by steel manufacturers, continues to navigate market dynamics while advancing strategic projects like Blue Creek. The company's stock price and performance will be closely watched by investors as these developments unfold.

InvestingPro Insights

Following BMO Capital Markets' revised price target for Warrior Met Coal Inc, it's worth noting that the company's financial health and market performance are showing strong signals according to InvestingPro metrics. With a market capitalization of $3.55 billion and a very attractive P/E ratio of 8.17, which further adjusts to 7.96 for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024, the company presents itself as a potentially undervalued investment opportunity.

Moreover, Warrior Met Coal boasts a robust gross profit margin of 40.18% for the same period, indicating efficient operations and a strong ability to convert sales into profits. This is further supported by an impressive return on assets of 18.72%, highlighting the company's effectiveness in using its assets to generate earnings.

InvestingPro Tips for Warrior Met Coal include noteworthy highlights such as the company holding more cash than debt on its balance sheet and a high shareholder yield. These factors, combined with a high return over the last year and trading near its 52-week high, underline the company's financial stability and market confidence. For those interested in further insights, there are 11 additional tips available on InvestingPro, which can be accessed by visiting https://www.investing.com/pro/HCC. Utilize the coupon code PRONEWS24 to receive an additional 10% off a yearly or biyearly Pro and Pro+ subscription, unlocking a wealth of expert analysis and data to guide investment decisions.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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