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Baird lifts ON Semiconductor shares target, cautious on recovery pace and high inventories

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 10/30/2024, 01:36 AM
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On Tuesday, Baird made an adjustment to the price target for ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON), increasing it to $75.00 from the previous $70.00, while keeping a Neutral stance on the stock. The firm acknowledged ON Semiconductor's disciplined inventory management but expressed concerns about the potential pace of recovery and the impact of high customer inventories on utilization rates.

ON Semiconductor, a prominent player in the semiconductor industry, has seen its gross margin significantly increase, marking the largest such improvement in the company's history. This milestone was achieved through the company's strategic focus on introducing value-added products in growing market segments while avoiding less profitable, price-sensitive opportunities.

Despite the gross margin success, Baird highlighted potential challenges ahead for ON Semiconductor. The firm noted that capital expenditures (capex) are expected to decrease next year, a common precursor to the bottoming of a cycle. This trend reflects both excess capacity in the industry and weak demand, which could pose risks to ON Semiconductor's near-term revenue and utilization rates.

The analysis by Baird reflects a cautious outlook for ON Semiconductor, balancing praise for the company's strategic moves with a watchful eye on external market factors that could influence its performance. The revised price target suggests that Baird sees some potential for the stock's value to increase, albeit with reservations about the speed and sustainability of growth.

Investors and market watchers will be considering Baird's assessment as they evaluate ON Semiconductor's position in the market, especially in light of the anticipated downturn in capex and the broader industry context of high customer inventories. The company's ability to navigate these challenges while capitalizing on its gross margin gains will be critical in determining its future success and stock performance.

In other recent news, ON Semiconductor reported a slight increase in its third-quarter earnings, with revenue rising to $1.76 billion. This was a 2% sequential growth, driven by silicon carbide and ADAS image sensors that led to a 5% increase in automotive revenue. For the fourth quarter, the company projects revenue to be between $1.71 billion and $1.81 billion, despite expectations of flat revenue.

Financial analysis firm Benchmark maintained a Buy rating on ON Semiconductor, setting a price target of $90. The firm highlighted the company's opportunities in the datacenter market, with new products expected to drive content expansion. Similarly, Goldman Sachs raised the company's stock price target to $92, citing strength in the China electric vehicle market and sustained demand in certain industrial sectors.

However, B.Riley reduced its price target from $106 to $100 due to weaker automotive industry unit sales, while Truist Securities lowered its price target to $89. Both firms maintained a Buy rating, noting ON Semiconductor's operational efficiencies and potential in Advanced Driver-Assistance Systems as key factors.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent data from InvestingPro provides additional context to Baird's analysis of ON Semiconductor (NASDAQ:ON). The company's market capitalization stands at $30.76 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment industry. ON's P/E ratio of 17.66 suggests a relatively moderate valuation compared to its earnings, which aligns with Baird's cautious outlook.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that ON has seen a significant return over the last week, with data showing an 8.57% price total return in the past seven days. This recent uptick could be related to the positive sentiment surrounding the company's gross margin improvements mentioned in the article. However, it's important to note that analysts anticipate a sales decline in the current year, with revenue growth showing a -6.63% change over the last twelve months.

The company's financial health appears stable, as InvestingPro Tips indicate that cash flows can sufficiently cover interest payments and liquid assets exceed short-term obligations. This financial stability could provide ON with a buffer as it navigates the potential industry downturn and capex reduction discussed in Baird's analysis.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips for ON Semiconductor, providing a deeper dive into the company's financial position and market outlook.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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