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Baird assumes Carvana stock coverage, highlights strong sales and EBITDA margin

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 08/01/2024, 07:34 PM
CVNA
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On Thursday, Baird assumed coverage of Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) stock, an online used car retailer, with a Neutral rating and set a price target of $160.

The firm highlighted Carvana's role as a disruptive leader in the auto remarketing ecosystem, noting its superior growth profile, increasing scale, and improving unit economics.

Carvana has recently experienced a significant turnaround, having overcome considerable challenges. The company's stock has witnessed a remarkable run, bolstered by strong execution and increasing momentum. These positive trends were evident in the second quarter's performance, which showcased continued robust sales growth.

The company reported a 33% increase in retail unit growth during the second quarter. This expansion is a key indicator of Carvana's sales momentum and its ability to attract and retain customers in a competitive market. The growth in retail units is a testament to the company's strategic initiatives and market positioning.

Additionally, Carvana achieved a record adjusted EBITDA margin of 10.4% in the same period. This margin reflects the company's operational efficiency and its ability to manage costs while scaling its business. The improved margin is significant as it demonstrates Carvana's progress toward sustainable profitability.

Baird's coverage initiation and price target reflect a measured outlook on Carvana's future performance. The Neutral rating suggests that while the firm acknowledges the company's past successes and potential, it also takes into consideration the inherent risks and uncertainties in the market.

The price target of $160 indicates Baird's expectation of where the stock may settle in the near term based on current market conditions and company fundamentals.

In other recent news, Carvana Co. reported a net income of $48 million for the second quarter, a notable turnaround from the previous year's net loss.

The company's projected adjusted EBITDA for 2024 is expected to range between $1 billion and $1.2 billion, surpassing analyst expectations. The growth in retail units, a key indicator of Carvana's sales momentum, increased by 33% during the second quarter.

Several analyst firms have updated their outlook on Carvana. Morgan Stanley maintained its Underweight rating but increased the price target from $75 to $110.

Needham raised the price target to $200 while maintaining a Buy rating. RBC Capital Markets adjusted its price target to $170 and JPMorgan raised its price target to $185, both maintaining their current ratings.

Despite positive developments, analysts caution about potential challenges such as seasonal trends and issues in the company's debt reduction plan. All these updates reflect recent developments and provide insights into Carvana's financial performance and strategic direction.

InvestingPro Insights

Carvana Co. (NYSE:CVNA) has been a topic of interest for investors seeking to understand the intricacies of the online used car market. With a market capitalization of $27.24 billion and a dynamic performance history, Carvana's financial metrics reveal a complex picture. The company's P/E ratio stands at 23.77, indicating investor confidence in future earnings. However, a deeper dive into the adjusted P/E ratio for the last twelve months as of Q1 2024 shows a figure of -35.96, reflecting concerns about profitability in the near term.

While Carvana's revenue for the last twelve months is reported at $11.23 billion, it has experienced a decline of 11.7%. This contrasts with a quarterly revenue growth of 17.46% in Q1 2024, suggesting a potential rebound or seasonal fluctuation. The gross profit margin remains at a modest 17.58%, aligning with one of the InvestingPro Tips that highlights Carvana's weak gross profit margins. Furthermore, the company has demonstrated strong returns with a 171.29% one-year price total return, which could catch the eye of growth-focused investors.

Investors can find additional guidance with two InvestingPro Tips that are particularly relevant: Carvana is trading at a high price/book multiple of 94.26, and analysts do not anticipate the company being profitable this year. These insights, coupled with an extensive list of 16 additional tips available on InvestingPro, can help investors navigate the complexities of Carvana's financial landscape and make informed decisions.

As Carvana continues to evolve within the auto remarketing ecosystem, these InvestingPro Insights can serve as a valuable resource for those looking to keep a pulse on the company's financial health and market potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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