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Arm Holdings stock price target raised by TD Cowen amid licensing momentum

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 08/01/2024, 09:50 PM
ARM
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On Thursday, Arm Holdings (NASDAQ:ARM) saw its stock price target increased to $150 from $125, while retaining a Buy rating, as announced by TD Cowen. The adjustment reflects the company's strong performance in licensing, which surpassed expectations despite a guidance that aligns with previous forecasts and a confirmation of its full-year outlook—a point that may leave some investors wanting more.

The company's recent financial results demonstrate a robust uptake of its v9 technology in the Mobile and Cloud sectors. This success, however, is somewhat tempered by persistent challenges in the Internet of Things (IoT) and Networking domains, which the firm had anticipated. Despite these mixed outcomes in different market segments, the company has generally adhered to the strategic course set during its initial public offering.

While Arm Holdings has been largely consistent in its business model, the stock itself has experienced significant fluctuations. The financial firm's analyst notes that the volatility seen in the company's share price does not necessarily reflect the stability of its underlying business model. This observation supports the firm's decision to maintain a positive outlook on the stock.

The analyst's commentary underscores the dual nature of the current situation: a strong licensing drive contributing to financial success, while the company's stock price undergoes considerable swings. Investors are watching closely as Arm Holdings navigates these market dynamics, balancing solid performance in certain areas with known weaknesses in others.

In conclusion, Arm Holdings continues to execute its strategy effectively, as recognized by the financial firm's maintained Buy rating and the increased price target. The company's steady progress, particularly in licensing, provides a foundation for the analyst's optimistic valuation, despite the stock's observed volatility.

In other recent news, Arm Holdings reported record-breaking Q1 results for fiscal year 2025, with a 39% revenue growth year-on-year. This success was primarily driven by an impressive performance in licensing and royalty revenue, especially in AI applications and smartphone segments. The company anticipates a steady revenue growth, maintaining its guidance for the fiscal year between $3.8 billion and $4.1 billion.

Arm's licensing revenue saw an increase of 70%, while royalty revenue rose by 17%. This growth has been fostered by significant partnerships with companies like Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL) and AWS, and the launch of Arm Ethos-U85 for Edge AI. The company projects strong licensing growth in Q4 due to a large pipeline of deals, and anticipates Arm-based PCs to attain a 50% market share in five years.

Despite these achievements, Arm Holdings expects a slight reduction in royalties, with an estimated decrease around $75 million for the year. However, the company remains optimistic about the future, citing the demand for CPUs in chip designs and the increasing adoption of Armv9 as long-term growth drivers. These recent developments highlight the company's strategic focus on AI and compute platforms, coupled with the growth in licensing and royalty revenue.

InvestingPro Insights

Arm Holdings' market trajectory has been marked by a blend of financial growth and stock price volatility. With a substantial market capitalization of $149.98 billion, the company's financial footprint is significant.

Notably, Arm's revenue has shown impressive growth over the last twelve months as of Q4 2024, with a 20.68% increase. This growth is further highlighted by a remarkable quarterly revenue surge of 46.6% in Q4 2024, underlining the company's strong performance in its licensing endeavors.

The company's stock has been trading at a high earnings multiple, with a P/E ratio of 358.97, reflecting investor expectations of future earnings potential. Despite this, the company's price/book ratio stands at 28.33, suggesting a premium valuation compared to its book value.

Investors may find reassurance in the fact that Arm Holdings has maintained profitability over the last twelve months and is expected to continue this trend, as per InvestingPro Tips. Additionally, the company's liquid assets surpass its short-term obligations, indicating a solid financial position for meeting immediate liabilities.

For investors seeking a deeper analysis, InvestingPro offers additional insights, with 14 more InvestingPro Tips available for Arm Holdings, providing a comprehensive view of the company's financial health and market performance.

Overall, Arm Holdings presents a complex investment profile, combining robust revenue growth and profitability with a premium valuation. As the company forges ahead, these InvestingPro Data metrics and Tips can serve as valuable tools for investors navigating the evolving landscape of this tech giant.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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