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Allstate stock target increased on better earnings outlook

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 10/18/2024, 08:22 PM
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On Friday, BMO Capital Markets revised its stock price target for Allstate Corp (NYSE:ALL), increasing it to $214 from the previous $205 while maintaining an Outperform rating on the stock. The adjustment comes as the firm anticipates an improvement in the company's earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2026.

According to BMO Capital, this optimism is based on an expected reduction in the Auto underlying loss ratio, although this is partly tempered by a forecasted decline in near-term Auto organic policy count growth.

The analyst at BMO Capital noted that Allstate had implemented Auto rate increases of approximately 2.7% in the quarter, which annualizes to nearly 11%. The firm believes that while these substantial rate hikes may impact the company's near-term organic growth, they are also likely to contribute to a significant improvement in Allstate's core margins.

Allstate's recent financial disclosures have been closely watched by analysts, particularly in light of the company's strategy to adjust Auto rates. The impact of these adjustments on both policy growth and profitability is a critical factor in BMO Capital's assessment of the insurer's financial trajectory.

The market's reception to the updated stock price target and maintained Outperform rating will be of interest to investors, as it reflects a positive outlook on Allstate's future earnings potential. BMO Capital's analysis suggests that, despite potential challenges in policy count growth, the company is on a path to stronger core financial performance.

As Allstate continues to navigate the competitive landscape of the insurance industry, the company's strategic rate adjustments and their implications for margins and policyholder counts will remain key indicators of its financial health. The updated price target by BMO Capital signals confidence in Allstate's ability to enhance its earnings in the coming years.

In other recent news, Allstate Protection Plans, a division of Allstate Corporation (NYSE:ALL), has broadened its mobile industry capabilities by acquiring Kingfisher (LON:KGF), a firm known for its smart device lifecycle optimization solutions. This acquisition is expected to enhance Allstate's offerings to mobile carriers and their customers.

Allstate Corporation also reported significant pre-tax catastrophe losses of $272 million in August, primarily due to 15 separate events, bringing the total losses for July and August to $814 million. The year-to-date losses through August have escalated to $3.67 billion.

Analysts have provided varying outlooks on Allstate. TD Cowen has reaffirmed a Buy rating with a price target of $224.00, emphasizing Allstate's strong capital position and increased agent productivity.

Bank of America maintains a positive outlook based on strong momentum in the personal lines markets. However, Barclays initiated coverage with an Underweight rating and a price target of $175, citing potential growth challenges. CFRA has downgraded Allstate from Buy to Hold, maintaining a price target of $200.00.

These recent developments reflect Allstate's strategic moves, financial resilience, and the varying perspectives of analysts. The company continues to navigate the landscape of the insurance industry, making strategic acquisitions and dealing with significant catastrophe losses, while receiving mixed evaluations from different analyst firms.

InvestingPro Insights

BMO Capital's optimistic outlook on Allstate Corp (NYSE:ALL) aligns with several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market capitalization stands at $51.6 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the insurance industry. Allstate's P/E ratio of 17.63 suggests a reasonable valuation relative to its earnings, which is particularly noteworthy given the company's strong performance.

InvestingPro data reveals that Allstate has achieved impressive revenue growth, with a 10.4% increase over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, reaching $60.3 billion. This growth trend is further supported by a quarterly revenue increase of 12.41% in Q2 2024, indicating sustained momentum in line with BMO Capital's positive outlook.

Two relevant InvestingPro Tips highlight Allstate's financial strength and market position. Firstly, the company "has raised its dividend for 13 consecutive years," demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns that aligns with its improving financial outlook.

Secondly, Allstate is recognized as a "prominent player in the Insurance industry," which supports BMO Capital's confidence in the company's ability to navigate market challenges and capitalize on rate adjustments.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Allstate's potential, InvestingPro offers 10 additional tips, providing a comprehensive analysis of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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