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PRECIOUS-Gold rises as focus returns to growth concerns, Fed rate cut

Published 07/08/2019, 03:31 PM
PRECIOUS-Gold rises as focus returns to growth concerns, Fed rate cut
XAU/USD
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* Fed's Powell could provide cues on near-term policy this
week
* Spot gold may retest resistance at $1,439/oz - technicals
* SPDR Gold holdings fell 0.2% on Friday

(Updates prices)
By Brijesh Patel
July 8 (Reuters) - Gold prices rose on Monday, shaking off
early losses to consolidate above the $1,400 pivot, as focus
shifted to global growth concerns and interest rate cuts by
major central banks.
Spot gold XAU= was up 0.5% at $1,406.79 per ounce, as of
0721 GMT. U.S. gold futures GCv1 climbed 0.6% to $1,408.90 an
ounce.
Also helping gold, the dollar eased from multi-week highs
and global stock markets were in red, helping the metal reverse
course following a more than 1% fall on Friday after strong U.S.
jobs data lowered the likelihood of an aggressive rate cut by
the U.S. Federal Reserve. USD/ MKTS/GLOB
"Despite the strong (U.S. jobs) numbers, the market is
expecting a rate cut, just not as aggressive it would have been.
We are still in a rate easing cycle right now," said Howie Lee,
an economist at OCBC Bank.
"Additionally, $1,400 is a pretty strong support level for
gold. Also, growth still remains weak globally and we have
geo-political tension between the U.S. and Iran. Overall factors
are still supportive for higher gold prices," he added.
U.S. non-farm payrolls rebounded in June to 224,000, the
most in five months, data showed on Friday, beating economists'
consensus estimate of 160,000. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is expected to provide further
cues on the near-term outlook for monetary policy this week at
his semi-annual testimony to the U.S. Congress on the economy.
However, persistent moderate wage gains and mounting
evidence the economy was losing momentum could still encourage
Fed to cut interest rates this month.
A rate cut by the Fed could also prompt China's central bank
to cut its benchmark policy rate for the first time in four
years to support the slowing economy, analysts say. Lower interest rates would support gold because they reduce
the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.
Also on investors' radar is U.S.-Iran tensions, with Tehran
saying on Sunday it will shortly boost its uranium enrichment
above a cap set by a landmark 2015 nuclear deal, prompting a
warning 'to be careful' from U.S. President Donald Trump.
Meanwhile, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust GLD , the world's
largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, fell 0.18% to 796.97
tonnes on Friday from 798.44 tonnes on Wednesday. GOL/ETF
On the technical front, spot gold may retest a resistance at
$1,439 per ounce and as long as the metal stays above the
support at $1,387, it may resume its uptrend towards $1,497,
according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao. Among other precious metals, silver XAG= gained 0.6% to
$15.06 per ounce, while palladium XPD= dipped 0.3% to
$1,562.41.
Platinum XPT= rose 0.7% to $809.26, edging away from a
more than one-week low touched in the previous session.

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