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UBS optimistic on Broadcom stock with FY26/FY27 AI revenue projections up 20%-40%

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 12/23/2024, 05:56 PM
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On Monday, UBS has increased the price target for Broadcom Limited (NASDAQ:AVGO) shares to $270.00, up from the previous target of $220.00, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, Broadcom, now valued at over $1 trillion, is trading above its Fair Value, with 20 analysts recently revising their earnings estimates upward.

The company has demonstrated remarkable momentum, delivering a nearly 100% return year-to-date. The revision follows a thorough analysis of Broadcom's Serviceable Addressable Market (SAM) disclosures and a reassessment of the potential for its custom compute and artificial intelligence (AI) networking businesses.

The firm's analyst has adjusted the AI revenue forecasts for the fiscal years 2026 and 2027, expecting approximately 20% and 40% increases, respectively. This optimistic adjustment is based on conservative market share assumptions and the anticipation of significant SAM growth as Broadcom potentially secures two additional hyperscaler clients for its AI services. The company's strong growth trajectory is already evident in its impressive 44% revenue growth over the last twelve months.

The analyst's statement highlighted the conservative nature of the market share assumptions and the potential for material SAM expansion, which could drive revenues higher if Broadcom adds more hyperscaler customers. The revised estimates reflect a more bullish outlook on Broadcom's AI revenue streams, prompting the increase in the price target to $270.

Broadcom's stock price target adjustment by UBS suggests confidence in the company's growth trajectory, especially in its AI networking and custom compute segments. The company's ongoing efforts to broaden its customer base, especially within the hyperscaler segment, are expected to contribute significantly to its revenue growth.

Broadcom Limited, a global technology leader that designs, develops, and supplies a broad range of semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions, is poised to benefit from the growing demand for AI capabilities across various industries. The raised price target from UBS signals a positive outlook for the company's financial performance in the coming years.

With an excellent Financial Health Score on InvestingPro, strong profit margins of 75%, and consistent dividend growth, Broadcom demonstrates solid fundamentals. Investors can access detailed analysis and 18 additional ProTips about Broadcom through InvestingPro's comprehensive research reports.

In other recent news, Broadcom Limited has reported significant developments in its financial performance and growth prospects. Analyst firms Bernstein SocGen Group, JPMorgan, and Goldman Sachs all maintained positive ratings on Broadcom, citing the company's robust growth in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. Broadcom's fiscal fourth-quarter 2024 earnings showed revenues of $14.1 billion and earnings per share (EPS) of $1.42. The company's semiconductor revenues of $8.2 billion exceeded expectations, largely driven by stronger AI revenue. However, the software segment underperformed, reporting $5.8 billion in revenue.

Broadcom anticipates revenues of $14.6 billion and an EBITDA margin of approximately 66% for the first quarter of fiscal year 2025. The company also projects an implied EPS of $1.51. The company's AI revenues for the fiscal year 2024 reached $12.2 billion, representing a threefold year-over-year increase. Broadcom's AI revenues are projected to grow to $17-18 billion in fiscal year 2025, marking a 40% year-over-year rise.

Broadcom's AI semiconductor serviceable available market (SAM) forecast for fiscal year 2027 is projected to be between $60 billion and $90 billion. This forecast is based on specific projects with its three leading AI Custom Compute customers, suggesting a sharper growth trajectory than earlier estimates.

The company also anticipates a significant ramp-up in XPU ASICs in the second half of 2025, thanks to new 3nm products that could see unit growth and presumably higher average selling prices. In response to these developments, Bernstein SocGen Group and other firms have updated their models and raised estimates for Broadcom.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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