On Monday, Loop Capital raised the price target for Ollie's Bargain Outlet (NASDAQ: OLLI) shares to $130 from the previous $120, while maintaining a Buy rating on the stock. Currently trading at $117.91, OLLI has demonstrated remarkable momentum with a 64.4% return over the past year.
The adjustment follows a recent visit by the firm's analysts to an Ollie's store in the Chicago suburbs, which left them impressed with the company's merchandise assortment. According to InvestingPro data, eight analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period.
The analyst observed a variety of compelling national brand items across multiple product categories at Ollie's. A particularly notable finding was the presence of diverted merchandise from Big Lots (NYSE:BIG), which is seen as a significant benefit stemming from Big Lots' bankruptcy filing and subsequent store closures.
This development is believed to be advantageous for Ollie's, as it may lead to market share gains and increased vendor relevance. The company's strong market position is reflected in its solid financials, with InvestingPro showing a healthy current ratio of 2.91 and moderate debt levels.
Despite the positive merchandise assessment, Loop Capital has slightly lowered its forecasts for Ollie's financial performance in the fourth quarter of 2024 and the first quarter of 2025. The revision accounts for the anticipated impact of liquidation sales following the collapse of Big Lots' sale out of bankruptcy. However, for the second through fourth quarters of 2025, the estimates have been increased, anticipating that Ollie's will capitalize on the market opportunities presented by Big Lots' situation.
The revised price target of $130 reflects Loop Capital's expectations for Ollie's future growth and market position, taking into account the current retail environment and the company's strategic merchandise sourcing. Based on InvestingPro's comprehensive analysis, the stock appears to be trading above its Fair Value, with analyst targets ranging from $105 to $135.
This outlook underscores the firm's confidence in Ollie's continued performance and its ability to navigate the retail landscape effectively, supported by its Good financial health rating and strong revenue growth of 12.48% over the last twelve months.
In other recent news, Ollie's Bargain Outlet has been the focus of several positive analyst evaluations.
Truist Securities and KeyBanc identified Ollie's as a primary beneficiary of the Big Lots store closures, with potential to capture a significant portion of the market share. Analysts from Citi upgraded Ollie's from a Sell to a Buy rating, setting a new price target of $133.00, while Craig-Hallum raised its price target for Ollie's to $130 from $107, maintaining a Buy rating.
RBC Capital Markets adjusted their price target for Ollie's to $130, maintaining an Outperform rating. The firm's analysis emphasized the company's robust unit growth and solid operating performance. Loop Capital also increased its price target for Ollie's to $120, reiterating a Buy rating. Piper Sandler raised Ollie's price target to $126, citing anticipation of several years of 20%+ earnings per share (EPS) growth.
JPMorgan updated its outlook on Ollie's, raising the price target to $135 due to strong unit growth and expectations for further expansion. Lastly, Jefferies increased its price target for Ollie's to $125, maintaining a Buy rating on the stock.
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