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Melius lifts NVIDIA shares PT, pointing to stronger long-term outlook

Published 11/11/2024, 10:16 PM
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On Monday (NASDAQ:MNDY), an analyst from Melius increased the price target on NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) shares to $185.00 from the previous $165.00 while maintaining a "Buy" rating. The analyst highlighted the company's attractive price-to-earnings growth (PEG) ratio, which at approximately 0.8x based on their 2025 estimates, is significantly lower than that of Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO) and the lowest among the major seven semiconductor firms.

The revised price target represents about 36 times Melius's fiscal year 2027 earnings per share (EPS) estimate of $5.10 for NVIDIA, which exceeds the consensus estimate of $4.90. The boost in the price target reflects Melius's increased confidence in NVIDIA's long-term financial projections compared to other semiconductor and systems companies they cover.

The analyst also noted strong capital expenditure intentions among the cloud giants, forecasting a 24% increase to $282 billion in capital expenditures for the top five AI infrastructure spenders—Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), AWS, Meta (NASDAQ:META), Google (NASDAQ:GOOGL), and Oracle—in the next year. This surge in spending is expected to benefit NVIDIA, especially with the anticipated revenue from its new Blackwell chips starting in the October quarter.

The release of the Blackwell chips is projected to lead to significant revenue growth for NVIDIA in the fourth fiscal quarter of 2025, which ends in January, and continue into the first and second fiscal quarters of 2026.

These chips are designed to help partners reduce power consumption and space requirements while being better equipped to handle the increasing demand for inferencing, which is the computing process related to model usage.

Lastly, the analyst pointed out that the race to advance AI application usage is driving significant investment from companies seeking to enhance user engagement within their product ecosystems.

They mentioned that the upcoming products from OpenAI, Google, Meta, and Microsoft are expected to contribute to this trend, with the goal of being first in the market to capitalize on opportunities before competitors, such as Meta, OpenAI, or others like Elon Musk with xAI, can dominate.

InvestingPro Insights

NVIDIA's strong market position and growth potential, as highlighted in the article, are further supported by recent data from InvestingPro. The company's impressive financial performance is evident in its revenue growth of 194.69% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2025, with quarterly revenue growth reaching 122.4% in Q2 2025. This aligns with the analyst's positive outlook on NVIDIA's future prospects, particularly with the upcoming release of Blackwell chips.

InvestingPro Tips indicate that NVIDIA has a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, suggesting strong financial health and operational efficiency. This score, combined with the company's impressive gross profit margins, reinforces the analyst's confidence in NVIDIA's long-term financial projections.

The PEG ratio of 0.16 (as of Q2 2025) mentioned in the InvestingPro Data is even more favorable than the analyst's estimate, further supporting the view that NVIDIA's stock may be undervalued relative to its growth potential. This low PEG ratio is particularly noteworthy given the company's high P/E ratio of 68.53, indicating that investors are willing to pay a premium for NVIDIA's strong growth prospects.

For readers interested in a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 23 additional tips for NVIDIA, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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