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BMO cuts Constellation Energy shares target to $291, keeps Outperform rating

Published 11/08/2024, 06:48 AM
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On Thursday, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on Constellation Energy (NASDAQ:CEG), reducing the stock's price target from $298.00 to $291.00. Despite the adjustment, the firm maintained its Outperform rating on the company's shares. The revision follows a notable decline in Constellation Energy's stock value, which dropped over 12% after the company posted its third-quarter results for 2024.

The analyst from BMO Capital attributed the stock's underperformance primarily to the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's (FERC) decision to reject the amended Interconnection Service Agreement (ISA) between TLN and AWS.

However, the analyst also highlighted several positive developments from Constellation Energy, including a modest beat in the third quarter of 2024 and an updated full-year guidance for 2024, which the management expects to be on the higher end of its range.

Constellation Energy is also exploring front-of-the-meter structures for select sites, which could enhance the company's operational flexibility. Additionally, there is potential for the company to contract incremental production from 1 gigawatt (GW) of future uprates, indicating growth prospects in its production capabilities.

The BMO Capital analyst's statement emphasized the firm's continued confidence in Constellation Energy, despite the recent price target adjustment. "We remain Outperform rated. Our target moves to $291," the analyst noted, signaling a belief in the company's strong fundamentals and future performance potential.

In other recent news, Constellation Energy has been in the spotlight with significant developments. The energy sector leader recently reported robust third-quarter earnings, with GAAP earnings of $3.82 per share and adjusted operating earnings of $2.74 per share, surpassing expectations. This strong performance led the company to raise its full-year earnings guidance from $8.00 to a range of $8 to $8.40 per share.

However, Jefferies and Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities have both adjusted their price targets for Constellation Energy, following a recent decision by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC).

Jefferies lowered its target to $234.00 from $256.00, maintaining a Hold rating, while Mizuho reduced its target from $264.00 to $235.00, keeping a Neutral rating. Both firms' adjustments were influenced by the FERC's decision, which is expected to impact the company's future strategy.

Additionally, Constellation Energy announced the anticipated restart of the Crane Clean Energy Center and the addition of 2,800 megawatts of renewable energy through commercial products CORe+ and CFE (EBR:CFEB) since 2020. The company also plans to introduce 2,000 megawatts of new nuclear capacity by 2027.

InvestingPro Insights

Constellation Energy's financial metrics and market performance offer additional context to the BMO Capital Markets analysis. Despite the recent stock price decline, CEG has shown impressive year-to-date price total return of 102.11%, significantly outperforming the broader market. This aligns with the analyst's maintained Outperform rating, suggesting long-term confidence in the company's prospects.

The company's P/E ratio of 25.93 and P/E ratio (Adjusted) of 35.92 for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 indicate that investors are willing to pay a premium for CEG's earnings, possibly due to its growth potential in the energy sector. This is further supported by the company's strong EBITDA growth of 42.14% over the same period, which could be attributed to the operational improvements and potential expansions mentioned in the article.

InvestingPro Tips highlight that Constellation Energy has raised its dividend for 2 consecutive years, with a current dividend yield of 0.6%. This consistent dividend growth, coupled with the company's exploration of new structures and potential for increased production capacity, aligns with the positive outlook maintained by BMO Capital Markets.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 16 additional tips for Constellation Energy, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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