Get 40% Off
🤯 This Tech Portfolio is up 29% YTD! Join Now to Get April’s Top PicksGet The Picks – Just 99 USD

IBM: With A 5% Dividend Yield Should Big Blue Be In Your Income Portfolio?

Published 09/08/2021, 05:51 PM
Updated 09/02/2020, 02:05 PM

International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) is not the kind of technology stock that catches investors’ attention. Unlike other blue-chip stocks, this 109-year-old company is struggling to revive growth and compete in an environment where it has been left far behind. 

For context, IBM has a market capitalization of about $125 billion. That is a fraction of Apple's (NASDAQ:AAPL) $2.57 trillion, Microsoft's (NASDAQ:MSFT) $2.24 trillion and Amazon's (NASDAQ:AMZN) more than $1.7 trillion. 

The major reason for this underperformance is that the past decade was a lost one for the software and services giant as it remained irrelevant in the fast-changing technology world, failing to innovate and losing ground to new entrants.

During Virginia Rometty’s eight years at the helm, IBM proved to be dead money for investors. This was the decade when Amazon, Microsoft and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) all rallied as demand soared for computing power and applications.

But since her departure last year, there are signs that Big Blue, as it's sometimes referred to colloquially, is gaining lost ground. IBM's new management structure has brightened prospects for the company’s long-term growth after many years of declining sales.

The New York-based company in July posted its biggest quarterly increase in revenue in three years, boosted by strong cloud-computing demand. These numbers helped push IBM stock 10% higher this year. It closed Tuesday at $138.06

IBM Weekly Chart.
Cloud Computing And AI 

Arvind Krishna, who took over as CEO last April, is focusing on artificial intelligence and the cloud to revive growth. Krishna has reorganized the company’s business around a hybrid-cloud strategy, which allows customers to store data in private servers and on multiple public clouds. IBM completed its purchase of Red Hat for $33 billion in 2019, the first step in a shift to what it calls hybrid-cloud.

IBM, in our view, is a safe dividend stock, especially after its new management’s clear shift to cloud computing, which is a high-growth business. These steps are encouraging and could unlock the value of IBM stock, which has hiked its dividend for 26 years straight. 

The stock currently pays $1.64 a share quarterly dividend, which translates into 4.7% annual dividend yield, making it one of the highest-yielding stocks among the blue-chip companies. 

Morgan Stanley, while raising the price target from $152 to $164, said that IBM’s turnaround is on track due to improving execution and strengthening demand. In a recent note, the investment bank said:

 “A higher-quality revenue beat, improving macro trends, and important investments in talent, partnerships, and go-to-market improve our confidence in a 2022 growth acceleration.” 

Under Krishna’s tenure the company has made many acquisitions to accelerate growth. The company spent about $3 billion in the first half of this year to bolster cloud and AI capabilities, including the purchase of Turbonomic Inc. and Italian process mining firm myInvenio. Most recently IBM bought Madrid-based Bluetab Solutions Group in an effort to extend its reach in Europe and Latin America.

In a separate note, Credit Suisse said the strong second-quarter results should help get the stock back on track.

In its note, Credit Suisse stated:

"We look toward the planned 4Q spin-off of Kyndryl as a key catalyst, easing the path to sustained growth, which supports multiple expansion ahead.”

Bottom Line

When it comes to growth, during the past decade, IBM has certainly disappointed its investors. But after the Red Hat acquisition and with new management in place, we see IBM slowly getting back on a path to growth. IBM’s healthy balance sheet, manageable debt and more than 5% dividend yield make its stock a bet worth considering, especially when its turnaround is gaining pace.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.