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The prospect of a Trump presidency has led to much debate and speculation about how markets might react. Depending on what policies are eventually passed, there are potential risks and opportunities...
The Fed cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25bps yesterday as widely expected. We expected it as well, though we still believe that the now 75bps cut in the FFR since September 18 is too much, too...
The S&P 500 had a much larger move than I anticipated. I thought we might see some kind of rebound, but I didn’t expect the big move we saw on Tuesday. That was a surprise, as I expected implied...
After indices ailed at resistance for so long traders made the decisive move, buying stocks with glee on Trump's victory. Most of the gains were achieved pre-market on the opening gap, but this gap...
So, Trump won the election as expected. Yesterday also marked the completion of the implied volatility reset that began yesterday, with the VIX 1-Day dropping from around 30 to 15 and the VIX index...
Stocks ended the day higher amid an implied volatility crush, with the VIX index dropping sharply. The VIX closed the gap from its significant rise on Thursday, October 31. More interesting was the...
With Election Day finally here, markets are bracing for potential volatility. History shows that the stock market can react unpredictably to election outcomes, especially when the results are unclear...
As the US election approaches tomorrow, history shows little long-term S&P 500 impact from election outcomes, while global economic forces like SNB profits and ChatGPT’s energy demands drive...
I know many people expect the market to rally after the election, and it may, given that we’ll likely see an IV crush as the event risk passes—something we see regularly, however, where the market...
Stocks finished the day lower as technology stocks took a hit following Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) and Meta’s results. Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) report results tonight, and whether...
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