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Nonfarm payrolls become especially significant given Fed's data dependence. The Fed is basing economic strength on employment. Detailed technical breakdown of downtrend. Stocks have the technical...
The energy sector cratered nearly 30% in June and July following an impressive run to start 2022 After oil climbed to $130 back in March, the market stabilized somewhat despite ongoing geopolitical...
Yield curve inversion deepens, heralding imminent recession Fed minutes show commitment to fight inflation but unclear on pace of rate hikes European bond yields rise as ECB faces rising inflation The...
High and still-rising core inflation across developed countries Focus on Jackson Hole meeting starting Thursday Fed has not been challenged yet, but eventual crisis is likely Against that backdrop,...
Earnings can cause volatility, despite being backward-looking. When Powell speaks this week, will he settle the market debate on whether the Federal Reserve has pivoted? Dollar hit its highest weekly...
Fed officials gather for their annual symposium in Jackson Hole next week Remain under pressure to fight inflation, without creating a market tantrum I expect the Fed to push back against rising...
Inflation remains at high level even if price increases slow down Jackson Hole may address questions on quantitative tightening Looming recession complicates QT in the U.K. and Europe U.S. consumers...
CPI report was a positive surprise, but Median CPI rose at a 6.3% Surprise caused by large moves in small ‘tail’ items rather than a broad lessening of pressures More stories about how...
The Inflation Reduction Act, which will likely be passed by Congress this week, contains multiple provisions impacting the energy industry in the U.S. Here is how traders and investors in energy and...
Chinese equities sharply outperformed U.S. markets in May and June but not July After awful one-year returns, China market could be a buy FXI’s bullish seasonal trend is something to consider...
Earnings show that companies (except for the banking sector) managed to pass on inflation almost entirely to the final customer Costs have increased considerably, pressuring margins—especially...
U.S. added more than double the jobs forecast in July Fed policymakers have had to affirm strong action to tame inflation Bank of England is under attack as inflation rages The U.S. is likely to slip...
Last week was positive for most stock markets around the world Bullish sentiment increased 2.8 points to 30.6% Friday's U.S. employment figures pose a big short-term risk Led by a +2.15% rebound on...
Money illusion has made the energy spike look worse than it is The CPI report is this week; Will median show any sign of peaking? Wages do not appear to be slowing at all. Last week, I mused about...
Is there a recession, and to what extent is politics involved? Was last week a fluke? Why I think there currently is or will be a recession, according to all definitions. How should I interpret a week...