Currency Forecast

Investors have cemented Fed easing expectations despite some hotter-than-expected US data. We suspect a market reluctant to price out rate cuts will need strong words from the Fed – perhaps...

Rate expectations were not moved by slightly hotter-than-expected US CPI, and support for the dollar has mostly come through the risk-sentiment channel. Range-bound trading may persist despite...

The US dollar is poised for potential shifts with today's CPI report, impacting major pairs like USD/JPY and USD/CAD Inflation expectations are set relatively high, meaning risks are skewed in favor...

We expect a consensus 0.3% MoM core inflation reading in the US today. We see the rise in the USD/JPY as an indication that fast money is probably positioned for a stronger figure, meaning there are...

The FX market appears in wait-and-see mode ahead of tomorrow’s US CPI. Today, there aren’t key data releases, but we’ll keep an eye on speeches by Fed member John Williams and the...

The US dollar is continuing to consolidate after Friday’s mixed data left the probability of a March rate cut above 50%, keeping yields steady around the 4% mark on the 10-year debt.Investors...

The labor market remains strong despite downward revision in recent months. Disinflation dynamics may decelerate post Thursday's data. Meanwhile, the EUR/USD pair is consolidating in an upward...

The US dollar demonstrated strength at the beginning of the year as it surged to reach the 103 level. This surge was propelled by positive US economic data, hawkish signals from the Fed, and an uptick...

The soft landing playbook could see a temporary reversal today were the December US jobs report to come in on the strong side. The market seems to have gotten a little ahead of itself in pricing the...

The US dollar is under pressure as the pound, and euro attempt a recovery, raising doubts about its upward trajectory. The dollar's recent easing is due to a minor rebound in risk appetite, a lack...

Hawks and doves might both be satisfied with yesterday's Fed minutes. Stressing conditionality seems inconsistent with March cut expectations, but the openness to a QT exit and concerns about the...

The EUR/USD’s sluggish start to the year continued in the first half of Wednesday’s session, with investors showing a preference for the US dollar ahead of key data releases from the...

The dollar jumped yesterday as investors started to return from the long Christmas break. Markets are unwinding some dovish bets, and questioning stretched equity valuations, ultimately favoring...

The prevailing market consensus points toward lower interest rates in developed countries next year, with both the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the European Central Bank (ECB) anticipated to make rate...