Earnings call transcript: Adtalem beats Q4 2024 forecasts, stock dips

Published 02/01/2025, 03:52 PM
Earnings call transcript: Adtalem beats Q4 2024 forecasts, stock dips

Adtalem Global Education (NYSE:ATGE) Inc., with a market capitalization of approximately $4 billion, reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter of 2024, surpassing analysts' expectations with an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.81 against a forecast of $1.38. Revenue reached $447.7 million, exceeding the anticipated $416.26 million. According to InvestingPro data, the company maintains a "GREAT" overall financial health score, demonstrating strong operational efficiency with a gross margin of 56.7%. Despite these positive results, the company's stock closed up 4.6% during regular trading but fell 1.76% in after-hours trading to $105.24.

Key Takeaways

  • Adtalem's EPS of $1.81 exceeded forecasts by 31.2%.
  • Revenue rose by 14% year-over-year, reaching $447.7 million.
  • Stock price increased by 4.6% during regular trading but dipped in after-hours.
  • Enrollment growth at Chamberlain and Walden universities drove performance.
  • Raised full-year revenue guidance to $1.73-$1.76 billion.

Company Performance

Adtalem Global Education demonstrated strong performance in Q4 2024, with significant contributions from its healthcare education institutions. Chamberlain University's enrollment grew by 11.5%, while Walden University saw a 13.2% increase. These growth rates reflect Adtalem's strategic focus on expanding its educational offerings and improving student outcomes, positioning the company favorably amidst ongoing demand for healthcare professionals.

Financial Highlights

  • Revenue: $447.7 million, a 14% increase year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $125 million, up 35.1%.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin: 27.9%, an increase of 440 basis points.
  • Earnings per share: $1.81, a 47.2% increase year-over-year.
  • Share repurchase: 471,000 shares at approximately $80 per share.

Earnings vs. Forecast

Adtalem's Q4 2024 results surpassed expectations, with EPS beating forecasts by 31.2% and revenue exceeding projections by 7.6%. This marks a significant achievement for the company, reflecting its operational efficiency and strategic initiatives in expanding its educational services.

Market Reaction

Despite the strong earnings report, Adtalem's stock experienced mixed reactions. It rose 4.6% during regular trading, closing at $102.42, but declined by 1.76% in after-hours trading to $105.24. InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock's RSI suggests overbought territory, while trading at an attractive P/E ratio relative to near-term earnings growth. This volatility may reflect investor caution amid broader market trends or profit-taking following the earnings announcement. For deeper insights into Adtalem's valuation metrics and 12+ additional ProTips, consider exploring InvestingPro's comprehensive research report.

Outlook & Guidance

Adtalem raised its full-year revenue guidance to between $1.73 billion and $1.76 billion, representing a growth of 9-11%. The company also increased its adjusted EPS guidance to $6.10-$6.30, indicating anticipated growth of 21.5-25.5%. These revisions underscore Adtalem's confidence in its growth strategy and market positioning. Notably, InvestingPro data reveals the company has achieved a perfect Piotroski Score of 9, suggesting exceptional financial strength and operational efficiency. The company's trailing twelve-month revenue growth of 12.8% demonstrates consistent execution of its growth strategy.

Executive Commentary

CEO Steve Beard highlighted the company's strategic focus: "Every percentage point of growth means more nurses, doctors, social workers, and mental health professionals entering communities where they're desperately needed." He also emphasized Adtalem's market leadership, stating, "We continue to enjoy market-leading positions and in some instances continue to take share."

Risks and Challenges

  • Regulatory changes under the new administration could impact operations.
  • The competitive environment in nursing and medical education remains intense.
  • Economic uncertainties may affect enrollment and financial performance.
  • The ongoing healthcare workforce crisis could strain resources.
  • Potential macroeconomic pressures might influence market dynamics.

Q&A

During the earnings call, analysts inquired about potential regulatory impacts and the company's marketing spend strategy. Adtalem's management elaborated on performance drivers such as marketing efficiency, enrollment conversions, and student persistence, providing insights into the company's operational focus and future growth prospects.

Full transcript - Adtalem Global Education Inc (ATGE) Q2 2025:

Conference Operator: Greetings, and welcome to the Adtalem Global Education Second Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Call. Call. Please note, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Jay Spitzer, Vice President of Investor Relations. Thank you.

You may begin.

Jay Spitzer, Vice President of Investor Relations, Adtalem Global Education: Good afternoon, and welcome to our earnings call for the results. On the call with me today are Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Adtalem Global Education and Bob Phelan, Chief Financial Officer. Before I hand you over to Steve, I will, as usual, take you through legal, safe harbor and cautionary declarations. Certain statements and projections of future results made in this presentation constitute as forward looking statements that are based on our current market, competitive and regulatory expectations and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to vary materially. We undertake no obligations to update publicly any forward looking statement after this presentation whether as a result of new information, future events, changes in assumptions or otherwise.

Please see our latest Form 10 K or Form 10 Q for a discussion of risk factors as it relates to forward looking statements. In today's presentation, we'll use certain non GAAP financial measures. We refer you to the appendix of the presentation materials available on our Investor Relations website for reconciliations for the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures and related information. You will find a link to the webcast on our Investor Relations website at investors.attalem.com. After this call, the presentation webcast will be archived on the website for thirty days.

I will now hand you over to Steve.

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Today, I'm excited to share how Atalem is transforming healthcare education in America and delivering exceptional results in the process. The healthcare workforce crisis remains 1 of our nation's most urgent challenges. Through our family of institutions, we're meeting this challenge head on by preparing the next generation of clinicians who will serve communities across the country. Our results validate that our strategy isn't just working, it's accelerating.

Revenue grew by 14% to $4.48,000,000 dollars Total (EPA:TTEF) enrollment was up 11.6% year over year improving for the eleventh consecutive quarter. We now serve over 91000 students and our adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by four forty basis points driving a 47% increase in adjusted earnings per share to $1,.81 per share. These aren't just numbers, they represent real impact. Every percentage point of growth means more nurses, doctors, social workers and mental health professionals entering communities where they're desperately needed. And we're achieving this growth while maintaining our unwavering commitment to inclusive access, academic quality and student success.

Let me share some concrete examples of how we're innovating to expand our impact. Chamberlain University, the country's largest nursing school is up 11.5% to another record level of total enrollment. Our BSN online program offered in 36 states now has 44 clinical hub locations in metropolitan areas with a goal of more than 65 hubs by the end of our fiscal year 2026. Bringing the clinical experience closer to our students and making quality education more accessible. And if you add our 23 physical campus locations, we're offering nursing programs to qualified students across 43 states.

Walden University continues to thrive with enrollment up 13.2%. Our new Get to W campaign is resonating. Since launch in we're seeing encouraging student engagement. We're also expanding access through innovative offerings like our Believe and Achieve scholarship, which provides financial clarity and rewards persistence, as well as our new graduation award for undergraduate students who complete their degrees, also underscoring our support for student success. In mental health, where nearly half of Americans live in workforce shortage areas, our impact is particularly striking.

Chamberlain and Walden together graduated more psychiatric mental health nurse practitioners in 2023 than all other top 20 programs combined. And today, we have over 9600 aspiring mental health nurse practitioners in our programs. In our Medical (TASE:PMCN) and Veterinary segment, the isn't an enrollment period, but we're seeing encouraging signs that our initiatives are working with Jan. 0 new enrollment demand up year over year. Our clinical return home offering with our hospital partners and our USMLE student prep efforts are showing positive results positioning us for enrollment growth in the near term.

We're also leading the integration of AI and healthcare education. Our partnership with Hippocratic AI is already producing clinicians skilled and practical AI applications. And 2 of our Chamberlain leaders, Doctor. Karen Cox and Doctor. Casey Spencer are pioneering AI tools for diabetes care and infant safety that can make a real difference in patient care.

To accelerate our digital transformation and AI integration efforts, I'm pleased to announce that Michael Betts, President of Walden University will now also serve as Atellum's Chief Digital Officer. Michael brings exactly the strategic vision and execution experience we need as we enter this next phase of innovation in higher education. He succeeds Stephen Tan, our former Chief Customer Officer who departed in will continue his successful leadership of Walden University, while taking on this expanded role guiding our digital strategy across all institutions and operations. Given our strong performance, we're raising our guidance. We now expect revenue between $1,730,000,000,.00 and $1,760,000,000,.00 with adjusted earnings per share of $6.1 to $6.3 Let me be clear about what drives these results.

Our growth with purpose strategy is fundamentally an operational excellence framework and it guides everything we do. At its core, it's about rigorous execution, high integrity, continuous process improvement and disciplined resource allocation. This operational rigor enables us to expand access to quality education, while maintaining excellence in student outcomes. It's how we're efficiently addressing critical workforce shortages, while delivering value to our shareholders. And most important, it's how we're systematically scaling our impact to change more lives, those of our students and the millions of patients they'll serve throughout their careers.

Every day I see Adtalem's potential to change the face of healthcare. We have the scale, the innovation and most importantly the mission driven team to make it happen. As we look ahead, we'll continue to invest in growth while delivering the returns our shareholders expect. And with that, I'll turn it over to Bob for a deeper dive into our financial results.

Bob Phelan, Chief Financial Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Thank you, Steve, and hello, everyone. Our results showcase the financial returns that our Growth with Purpose strategy yields. Consistent execution of our organic growth strategy has unlocked robust returns and cash generation, providing us the ability to balance investing in our business for sustainable growth, strengthening our balance sheet and returning cash to our owners. I'll begin with a review of our financial results and key drivers for our performance in the Later in my remarks, I will discuss our expectations and assumptions for the remainder of Starting with the top line, Revenue in the increased by 13.9% to $44,770,000,0.0 driven by all 3 segments, in particular through enrollment growth at Chamberlain and Walden as our strategic initiatives enhanced our trajectory. Consolidated adjusted EBITDA came in at $125,000,000 up 35.1% compared to the prior year from profit growth in all 3 segments led by Walden and Chamberlain, resulting in an adjusted EBITDA margin of 27.9%, a four forty basis point increase from last year.

Adjusted operating income was $10,140,000,0.0 up 34.2 compared to the prior year as revenue growth and efficiencies generated operational leverage, which was partially offset by investments in our strategic initiatives. Adjusted net income for the quarter was $6,940,000,0.0 up 38.1% compared to last year, attributed to adjusted operating income growth and lower interest expense resulting from our actions to reduce outstanding debt and lower our borrowing costs, partially offset by a higher provision for income taxes. Adjusted earnings per share was $1,.81 or a 47.2% increase compared with the prior year. We repurchased 471,000 shares of our common stock within the quarter, resulting in a diluted shares outstanding of $3,840,000,0.0 or $240,000,0.0 lower than last year. Next (LON:NXT), I'll discuss the second quarter financial highlights by segment.

Chamberlain reported revenue of $181,000,000 an increase of 17.9% when compared with the prior year, driven primarily by strong growth in enrollments. Total student enrollment during the quarter increased 11.5% compared to the prior year, the eighth consecutive quarter of both pre licensure and post licensure nursing program growth. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 42.5% to $5,260,000,0.0 for the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA margin of 29.1% was five ten basis points higher than the prior year as our operational leverage outpaced our ongoing investments into our students to support the growth in enrollments and our focus on improving academic outcomes. A great example is our in demand BSN online offering, which grew enrollments at over triple digits year over year in the quarter.

Before moving on from Chamberlain, I'd like to provide additional color on our dynamic marketing investments. In the of this fiscal year, we purposefully increased our marketing investment year over year at Chamberlain to leverage our leading position. This quarter, our marketing investment at Chamberlain was flat year over year, which has resulted there will be quarterly fluctuations in margin rates as a result. There will be quarterly fluctuations in margin rates as a result. Turning to Walden.

Second quarter revenue of $17,130,000,0.0 an increase of 16.7 versus the prior year was driven by strong growth in enrollments. Total student enrollment accelerated in the quarter, up 13.2% compared to the prior year from robust enrollment growth, particularly in the master's and undergrad degrees and continued high persistence rates. Within our healthcare programs, the growth was led by social and behavioral health and nursing with our non healthcare programs also growing in the quarter. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 50.2% to $5,210,000,0.0 adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by six eighty basis points versus the prior year to 30.4% as our operational excellence generates efficiencies and leverage, creating a healthy contribution margin that outpaces long term focused student facing investments and additional student support commensurate with the high levels of new enrollment.

Jay Spitzer, Vice President of Investor Relations, Adtalem Global Education: For the

Bob Phelan, Chief Financial Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Medical and Veterinary segment, revenue in the increased 2.8% to $9,540,000,0.0 As Steve mentioned, there is no change in the student enrollment for the compared to the Adjusted EBITDA increased by 1.3% to $2,670,000,0.0 Adjusted EBITDA margin was 40 basis points lower versus the prior year at 28%. We remain focused on operating our institutions with a cost structure generally in line with our current total enrollment level, while making long term growth investments to leverage the existing capacity at our medical schools. We believe that we're well positioned to capture on a prospective medical school student demand represented by the high student application to available seat ratio. And Ross Vet continues to operate near capacity. Across all institutions, we remain focused on creating a seamless student experience from a prospective student's first visit to our institution's website, navigating the application process, assisting them as they map out their education pathway, all the way through to becoming a member of our approximately 350000 strong alumni community.

Now shifting the cash flow and balance sheet, We continue to enhance our financial strength through robust cash generation and disciplined capital deployment. On a trailing twelve month basis, free cash flow is $2.32,000,000 dollars from strong operational performance, while continuing organic investments to expand our reach and healthcare impact amplified by our commitment to enhance student outcomes. Our balance sheet remains healthy, ending the with $194,000,000 in cash and a low adjusted EBITDA net leverage of 1.1x. We repurchased 471,000 shares during the quarter at approximately $80 a share, continuing to execute on our existing share repurchase authorization, which has $140,000,000 remaining. On December '31, our outstanding letters of credit balance was reduced by a net $48,000,000 Our new letter of credit balance, which represents 10% of our Title IV funding, is $179,000,000 After the quarter end, on Jan.

17, 2025, we further strengthened our balance sheet, repaying $100,000,000 on our higher interest rate term loan B, which reduces the outstanding balance to $15,330,000,0.0 It's been an exemplary first half of ahead of our original expectations set heading into the year as we relentlessly execute our growth with purpose strategy, creating greater efficiencies and scale. As a result, we are raising our guidance with the revenue now in the range of 1730000000.00 to $1,760,000,000,.00 approximately 9% to 11% growth year over year with adjusted earnings per share of $6.1 to $6.3 approximately 21.5% to 25.5% growth year over year. For the full year, our new revenue guidance level along with continued efficiencies is resulting in incremental operating leverage. In turn, we now anticipate greater than 100 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion in We anticipate an adjusted effective tax rate of approximately 23% for the fiscal year. We will continue our balanced approach to capital allocation, aiming to deploy capital to maximize long term value and to generate high returns for all stakeholders.

As a part of this approach, our top priority remains to reinvest into our institutions as we execute on expanding our inclusive access mission to achieve optimal capacity and deliver positive student outcomes. And with that, I'll now turn the call over to the operator for Q and A.

Conference Operator: Thank you. And at this time, we'll be conducting our question and answer session. And our first question comes from Alex Paris with Barrington Research. Please state your question.

Alex Paris, Analyst, Barrington Research: Thank you and thanks for taking my questions. Congratulations on another strong quarter.

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Thank you.

Alex Paris, Analyst, Barrington Research: First question relating to guidance. Bob, I heard you and I was going to ask the question. The raised revenue guidance and the operating leverage you get from that is going to result in greater than 100 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion. Just thinking back to Investor Day in 2023, do we expect that sort of operating leverage in 2026 and beyond, 100 basis points plus?

Bob Phelan, Chief Financial Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Yes, I would say we do still anticipate 100 basis points plus in and that's above what we've just raised here in

Alex Paris, Analyst, Barrington Research: Got you. That's great. And then second, the last conference call that we had was in Since then, we've had an election and I'd be remiss if I didn't ask about your feelings with regard to the Trump administration coming in and likely changes or not in terms of the regulatory environment?

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Well, I think the general consensus, Alex, is that the regulatory overhang that the industry is subject to will be lighter, but we're not in a position to speculate about that now. We know that Secretary McMahon is getting settled into her role. We look forward to engaging with her and her team in the near future about how we think about transparency and accountability, but also how we think about expanding our opportunities to serve students and to address chronic workforce shortages in healthcare. So more to come on that count, but we're looking forward to engaging with the new Secretary.

Alex Paris, Analyst, Barrington Research: That's great. And then I guess the last question, just a miscellaneous question. With regard to MedVet, because there's not enrollment data in the because it's on a semester basis or a trimester basis, I was just wondering if we can get an update on the remediation plans. I did hear you say that the Jan. 0 enrollment trends look positive.

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: They do. We continue to be encouraged by the remediation efforts. They are unfolding consistent with our expectations. Scott Liles and team have done a really fantastic job with those and we look forward to being able to demonstrate that in the results of operations for that segment next quarter.

Alex Paris, Analyst, Barrington Research: And then the last 1, it just occurs to me. On marketing expense, I don't recall if the comments that were made with regard to marketing expense being flat in the was that consolidated or was that just Chamberlain? And then how should we what should we expect for marketing expenses in the second half of the year on a year over year basis?

Bob Phelan, Chief Financial Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Sure. The comments were specific to Chamberlain, but what I would tell you is that the comments can apply also to the entire company in terms of where we're at for first quarter and So for the balance of the year, what I would just suggest is that you take a look at what we've done in the past. And while we will grow our marketing on a dollar basis, the spend for this year, we anticipate that we're going to grow it at much less of a rate than our revenue. And as a proxy for that last year, we grew our marketing expense at about 4%, where the revenue was growing at 9%. So that would be the way I would guide you for the full year.

Alex Paris, Analyst, Barrington Research: That's very helpful and just what I wanted to hear. Thank you and I'll get back in the queue.

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Thank you.

Conference Operator: And our next question comes from Jeff Silber with BMO Capital Markets. Please state your question.

Jeff Silber, Analyst, BMO Capital Markets: Thank you so much. I know you don't provide specific quarterly guidance, but you significantly outperformed analyst expectations. I'm assuming you probably outperformed your expectations as well. Can we just talk about maybe what drove the outperformance? What are the specific areas you would say?

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Well, I think we've got a

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: couple of things working for us. We've got greater efficiency on the marketing spend, we've been really pleased with what Maurice and team have done there, we've got a great new campaign at Walden that we think is driving real interest in our programs as well as the broader name. The initiatives that we have around enrollment in particular, we're experiencing incrementally better conversions at the bottom of the funnel, which we're excited about, and we continue to make strides in improving persistence across all 5 institutions, and that obviously goes a long way towards helping us improve the financial outcomes. So it's a little bit of everything across the 5 pillars of the strategy, but I would highlight persistence in marketing and in particular gains at the conversion level at the bottom of the funnel.

Jeff Silber, Analyst, BMO Capital Markets: All right. That's really helpful. I was also wondering if you could just maybe get us up to speed on the competitive environment. I know it doesn't specifically change quarter to quarter, but I'm just curious what you're seeing out there.

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Well, I think we've got very competitive environments across a couple of our large products. Nursing is a competitive environment for us, medicine remains a competitive environment for us. That having been said, we continue to enjoy market leading positions and in some instances continue to take share. That's certainly true in post licensure nursing, particularly in the RN to BSN product, and we continue to feel good about our ability to gain share over time in medicine, particularly as it relates to some of our Caribbean medical school competitors. So I think the healthcare education thesis is 1 that's attracted a lot of attention across the industry.

I know lots of folks in various ways are seeking to move in that direction, but obviously we've got long standing positions of strength across medicine, veterinary medicine, nursing and behavioral health, and we've got what we think are fantastic strategies for expanding our competitive moat in all of those products.

Jeff Silber, Analyst, BMO Capital Markets: All right, great. Thanks so much for the color.

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Of course.

Conference Operator: Thank you. And our next question comes from Stephen Pollock with Baird. Please state your question.

Jeff Silber, Analyst, BMO Capital Markets: Yes. Thank you. On the second half guidance and sort of what's implied for revenue growth, obviously, this first half has been really good and you talked about some of the factors that are driving that performance. But what factors, I guess, are you contemplating or maybe that we need to consider in terms of the implied step down in second half growth rate?

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: I'll start and I'll let Bob add some additional color. So I think we've got more challenging comps in the second half of the year, that's part of the dynamic. Obviously, when we are in a position as we are this quarter to raise the guide, we do that on a risk adjusted basis. And so, you know, we're obviously looking to be prudent and thoughtful. But if we get new information in subsequent quarters, we'll adjust further.

But, you know, we just got more difficult comps in the back half, and we signaled that at the beginning of the fiscal year. I know in Bob's commentary last quarter and the quarter before that, we were clear that the second half of the fiscal year would be incrementally slower than the first. But Bob, feel free to jump in with any additional color.

Bob Phelan, Chief Financial Officer, Adtalem Global Education: No, the only thing I would add is that we do still have a strong back half of the year. So in terms of getting to the guidance we provided, the 9% to 11% growth, it does require us to still have a strong back half of the year, although slightly below where we're at for the first half.

Jeff Silber, Analyst, BMO Capital Markets: Okay. And then on the digital transformation that you kind of alluded to with Michael Betts, anything you can provide there in terms of color of what's being done, maybe what's incremental, and I guess is incremental to the growth purpose strategy? And is it I guess, is there opportunity to accelerate sort of beyond that with some of these digital initiatives?

Steve Beard, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Adtalem Global Education: Yes, I appreciate the question. You know, we're in year 2 of growth with purpose, which we've articulated as a three year strategy. And as we get into the back half of that strategy, incrementally, more and more of the initiatives we're driving have a tech dependency. And so, you know, it was really an opportune time to have Michael take responsibility for, our our digital center of excellence, because he comes at it not only as a as a marketing leader and a technologist, but he comes at it as a consumer of those services as someone who actually runs 1 of our institutions. And so, he'll take charge of our core tech stack as well as our product engineering, our data science, all of our innovation activities, and it'll bring this perspective of both an operator and a technologist to that, which gives us greater assurance that those back half initiatives and growth of the purpose that are particularly tech focused are ones that we're going to be able to execute against as well or better than the initiatives that we ran in the first half of that strategy.

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