Breaking News
Investing Pro 0
👀 Bezos, Buffett & Berkowitz: What's in Their Portfolios? Unlock Data

'Diminishing appetite' for The Trade Desk shares as rates persist higher, claims Benchmark

Published Mar 10, 2023 00:30
Saved. See Saved Items.
This article has already been saved in your Saved Items
 
© Reuters.
 
TTD
+0.05%
Add to/Remove from a Portfolio
Add to Watchlist
Add Position

Position added successfully to:

Please name your holdings portfolio
 
GOOGL
+0.07%
Add to/Remove from a Portfolio
Add to Watchlist
Add Position

Position added successfully to:

Please name your holdings portfolio
 
GOOG
+0.16%
Add to/Remove from a Portfolio
Add to Watchlist
Add Position

Position added successfully to:

Please name your holdings portfolio
 
AAPL
+0.22%
Add to/Remove from a Portfolio
Add to Watchlist
Add Position

Position added successfully to:

Please name your holdings portfolio
 

By Sam Boughedda 

Benchmark downgraded The Trade Desk, Inc. (NASDAQ:TTD) to Sell with a $38 per share price target, stating the stock is priced to perfection in an imperfect market.

Benchmark analysts' price target represents a potential 35% downside for TTD. They outlined four reasons for the downgrade, including untenable 2023 buy-side expectations, unhealthy non-CTV growth, data/signal loss risk over the next 18 months, and declining investor appetite for high multiples.

"Post CEO Jeff Green's bullish 1Q and broadly 2023 outlook on the 4Q call, we believe buy-side expectations have re-rated to untenable levels while eclipsing overly optimistic consensus expectations," the analysts wrote. "While CTV ad unit growth remains relatively healthy and on pace to support an estimated ~40% of TTD's gross spend in the next 2 years, non-CTV growth (e.g., mobile and display) does not look healthy. Our recent industry checks suggest '23E digital ad spend will be "flat-to-down 5%" (not factoring in a recession). We further believe buy-side '23 CTV growth expectations are too high."

They believe the data/signal loss risk over the next 18 months is due to "Apple decisioning on fingerprinting/Private Relay, and Google decisioning on GAID (Google Ad ID) and Chrome cookies."

"We still firmly believe UID2 will provide little to no reprieve to future signal loss, with negative impact to TTD terminal value realized as we exit this year with still no large publisher UID2 commitments (to share in TTD auction) regardless of a growing list of UID2 ad tech vendor partners," the analysts added. "As rates persist higher, we see a diminishing appetite for TTD shares."

'Diminishing appetite' for The Trade Desk shares as rates persist higher, claims Benchmark
 

Related Articles

Add a Comment

Comment Guidelines

We encourage you to use comments to engage with users, share your perspective and ask questions of authors and each other. However, in order to maintain the high level of discourse we’ve all come to value and expect, please keep the following criteria in mind: 

  • Enrich the conversation
  • Stay focused and on track. Only post material that’s relevant to the topic being discussed.
  • Be respectful. Even negative opinions can be framed positively and diplomatically.
  •  Use standard writing style. Include punctuation and upper and lower cases.
  • NOTE: Spam and/or promotional messages and links within a comment will be removed
  • Avoid profanity, slander or personal attacks directed at an author or another user.
  • Don’t Monopolize the Conversation. We appreciate passion and conviction, but we also believe strongly in giving everyone a chance to air their thoughts. Therefore, in addition to civil interaction, we expect commenters to offer their opinions succinctly and thoughtfully, but not so repeatedly that others are annoyed or offended. If we receive complaints about individuals who take over a thread or forum, we reserve the right to ban them from the site, without recourse.
  • Only English comments will be allowed.

Perpetrators of spam or abuse will be deleted from the site and prohibited from future registration at Investing.com’s discretion.

Write your thoughts here
 
Are you sure you want to delete this chart?
 
Post
Post also to:
 
Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?
1000
Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Thanks for your comment. Please note that all comments are pending until approved by our moderators. It may therefore take some time before it appears on our website.
 
Are you sure you want to delete this chart?
 
Post
 
Replace the attached chart with a new chart ?
1000
Your ability to comment is currently suspended due to negative user reports. Your status will be reviewed by our moderators.
Please wait a minute before you try to comment again.
Add Chart to Comment
Confirm Block

Are you sure you want to block %USER_NAME%?

By doing so, you and %USER_NAME% will not be able to see any of each other's Investing.com's posts.

%USER_NAME% was successfully added to your Block List

Since you’ve just unblocked this person, you must wait 48 hours before renewing the block.

Report this comment

I feel that this comment is:

Comment flagged

Thank You!

Your report has been sent to our moderators for review
Continue with Google
or
Sign up with Email