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Yuan’s Surge Past 7 Ends In a Flash as Trade Skepticism Returns

Published 11/07/2019, 11:16 AM
Updated 11/07/2019, 12:56 PM
© Reuters.  Yuan’s Surge Past 7 Ends In a Flash as Trade Skepticism Returns
USD/CNY
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(Bloomberg) -- China’s yuan spent less than two days on the strong side of 7 as optimism over trade talks faded.

The onshore yuan weakened the most in three weeks Thursday to 7.0164, ending a seven-session rally that was its best run since January. The move came after news that U.S. and China may not be able to sign a partial deal until December, later than previously expected.

Optimism about an interim trade agreement and a weaker greenback sent the currency to overbought territory this week for the first time in nine months. China has reported the slowest economic growth since the early 1990s -- a factor that may prompt Beijing to loosen monetary policy more aggressively and weaken its currency to blunt the impact of the trade war.

“We wouldn’t get too excited about the yuan,” said Dominic Schnider, head of commodities and Asia Pacific foreign-exchange at UBS Global Wealth Management. “The pendulum of trade tensions can shift quickly, and still-weak economic activity in China should result in more central bank easing.”

The onshore yuan fell as much as 0.30%, the most since Oct. 16, to 7.0187 a dollar before paring the drop to 0.26% as of 11:11 a.m. in Shanghai. The offshore rate traded little changed at 7.0165.

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