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MercadoLibre stock outlook brightens as BofA adjusts for GMV and credit gains

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 09/12/2024, 07:48 PM
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MELI
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On Thursday, BofA Securities updated its stance on MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:MELI), increasing the price target to $2,500 from the previous $2,250 while maintaining a Buy rating for the stock. The adjustment reflects a positive outlook on the company’s growth prospects and potential for increased earnings power.


The firm's analysis indicated that MercadoLibre's Meli+ program has shown an increase in frequency and trial across new categories, although it initially did not scale as expected due to costs and limited interest in content. In comparison, Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Prime subscribers are estimated to spend approximately 2.6 times more than non-Prime users, as per a December 4, 2023, report by the firm's senior eCommerce analyst.


MercadoLibre's users, particularly those engaged with both the company's marketplace and its Pago platforms, are believed to present a significantly lower credit risk. This suggests that there could be substantial room for improvement in the company's financial principles. Based on these assessments, BofA Securities has raised its estimates to account for the growth in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) and credit use.


The new price objective of $2,500 is based on a full turn of GMV, previously valued at 0.9 times GMV, and on the expected lift from the company's initiatives. It also includes 0.3 times Total Payment Volume (TPV) due to growth and the implications for financial principles.


In other recent news, MercadoLibre, the leading e-commerce company in Latin America, has revealed an ambitious growth plan aiming to triple its user base from 100 million to 300 million. The company has seen a doubling of profits in the last quarter, surpassing Petrobras in valuation. Financial firms Susquehanna, Jefferies and BTIG have raised their price targets on MercadoLibre's shares, following strong Q2 results, including a 40% year-over-year increase in revenues and a net income margin of 10.5%.


The company's credit card segment has shown significant growth, with credit card lending surging 19% quarter over quarter and 145% year over year. Positive trends in real wages in Brazil, Mexico, and Argentina, along with strong digitalization trends, are contributing to MercadoLibre's strong performance.


Despite a contraction in EBIT margins due to bad debt provisioning, MercadoLibre reported market share gains in Brazil and Mexico. The company also issued 1.6 million new credit cards in the same quarter, and its Fintech Services saw a surge in monthly active users, surpassing 50 million.

InvestingPro Insights


Further enriching the analysis by BofA Securities, real-time data from InvestingPro underscores the robust financial health and growth prospects of MercadoLibre (NASDAQ: MELI). A key highlight is the company's impressive gross profit margin, which stands at 54.7% over the last twelve months as of Q2 2024, reflecting its strong ability to manage costs relative to revenue. Additionally, the company's revenue growth remains vigorous, with a substantial 37.27% increase over the same period.


InvestingPro Tips for MercadoLibre reveal that the company holds more cash than debt on its balance sheet, suggesting a solid financial position to support its growth initiatives. Moreover, the sentiment among analysts is optimistic, with four analysts having revised their earnings projections upwards for the upcoming period, indicating confidence in MercadoLibre's future performance.


For investors seeking more detailed analysis and additional insights, InvestingPro provides an array of tips, with 17 more listed for MercadoLibre alone. These include assessments of the company's valuation multiples, stock price volatility, and position within the Broadline Retail industry. The platform's fair value estimate stands at $1,797.16, offering a grounded perspective alongside analyst targets.


The data and insights from InvestingPro not only align with the positive outlook presented by BofA Securities but also provide a deeper understanding of MercadoLibre's financial metrics and market position, adding valuable context for investors considering the stock.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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