Breaking News
Quotes
All Instrument Types
  • All Instrument Types
  • Indices
  • Equities
  • ETFs
  • Funds
  • Commodities
  • Currencies
  • Crypto
  • Bonds
  • Certificates

Please try another search

Search website for: 
Popular News
More
Popular Analysis
More
More
Get 55% Off
/Free Sign Up
 0
🔺 What to do when markets are at an all-time high? Find smart bargains, like these.
See Undervalued Stocks

Alfonso Peccatiello

The Macro Compass
Joined: Feb 17, 2019
  • Analysis & Opinion

Alfonso Peccatiello's Comment & Analysis
A complete archive of Alfonso Peccatiello's articles, including current analysis & opinion.

Have We Seen Peak 'Trump Trade' Already?
By Alfonso Peccatiello - Dec 01, 2024
Trump is back slashing (or should we say: threatening) tariffs left, right and center. The more gradual approach suggested by his inner circle is nowhere to be seen. It seems like this Trump...
Term Premium Is Back - So Are the Bond Vigilantes?
By Alfonso Peccatiello - Nov 10, 2024
The Bond Market is saying “This Time is Different”. The Term Premium is on the rise, and it now sits close to the highest level for the last 10 years. But What is Term Premium? An investor looking...
Macro clouds remain on the horizon. Wherever you look at, you see unsustainable economic models: we are either relying on debt-fueled growth (US), trying to squeeze exhausted growth models (China),...
The Chinese real estate market is de-leveraging very hard. Economists estimate Chinese households have suffered $10+ trillion of wealth losses as a result. There is now a strong urge to stop the...
The news of the week is NOT the Fed cutting 50 bps - yes sure, that’s important but there is something much more relevant going on. The Chinese economy keeps imploding from within. And we should pay...
The Fed Is Behind the Curve and Playing With Fire
By Alfonso Peccatiello - Sep 10, 2024
We are observing a true regime change in markets. And for macro investors, it’s incredibly important to stay vigilant and on top of our game at this stage. It all starts with this: the Fed is behind...
When markets are calm (read: boring), it’s easier to take a step back from the daily noise and ask ourselves the big picture questions like Yes, but what’s the Macro EndGame? It often feels like the...
The Fed hiked rates above 5%, and yet the US economy didn't break.Back in 2022 already, the yield curve inverted and it has stayed inverted ever since. The lags looked relatively short, and the US...
Yield Curve Patterns: Is a Recession Around the Corner?
By Alfonso Peccatiello - May 10, 2024
When the yield curve flattens and eventually inverts, you worry.But it’s when a recession hits, the Fed cuts rates and the curve steepens that you become s**t scared. Yield curve dynamics...
Last week was big for macro and markets.Today’s piece is going to cover: The Fed’s dovish announcement: a sizeable tapering of their Quantitative Tightening program; A potential upcoming...